Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions (+) The least likely matchup of the four, but maybe the most popular. Whatever Chiefs fatigue exists. 58% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Chiefs ; the moneyline splits show 91% of the moneyline bets are on the Chiefs at odds; 78% of the. The Chiefs (, ) get the home opener chiefs lions line a Lions team that finished last season strong. With the status of both Travis Kelce. Mahomes is (bet $ to win $) to hit the under of
What is the spread on the Chiefs Lions game? -4.5 Lions vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -4.5. Lions vs. Chiefs over/under: 53 points.
What is the line on the Chiefs bill? Bills vs. Chiefs spread: Buffalo -2.5. Bills vs. Chiefs over/under: 45.5 points.
Chiefs Odds Spread, Total, Moneyline. Matchup Open Spread Total Moneyline. Friday a. PRO Insights. See All Insights. Lions DET Insights. The Chiefs ran successful plays on Lions allowed successful plays on Chiefs KC Insights. The Chiefs were successful on Lions allowed their opponents to be successful on PRO Top Props.
All Props Right Arrow. Chiefs Game Analysis. Chiefs Expert Picks. DET Spread. Popular Props. Last 5 Matchups. Chiefs Lions. Betting Trends. Chiefs lions line In case you forgot, the Lions ranked dead last in yards allowed per game last season. The Lions made some additions to the defensive side of the ball, including C.
The Vikings to win the division at is more enticing. He's clearly the best quarterback in the league right now and if he has the best numbers, he'll probably win. Narratively, it's there for him still: The team lacks receivers and now Kelce might miss time. If Mahomes can still lead the Chiefs to success -- and I think he will -- that will only bolster his case.
Fulghum: I agree with everything Seth wrote. He nailed it regarding how to approach Mahomes this season. As far as Thursday night's opener against the Lions, I'm not betting against Mahomes. He's at home. Andy Reid has had all preseason to prepare for this game -- even the loss of Kelce.
I trust they'll live up to their end of the bargain offensively, even given the extenuating circumstances. Moody: You should still bet the over on Mahomes' passing yards prop. Since becoming the starter in , he has averaged With Kelce off the field, Mahomes' quarterback rating and yards per pass attempt are lower, but his completion percentage remains the same.
The Lions' defense allowed Noah Gray could play a bigger role if Kelce is out. There's no doubt head coach Andy Reid will make the right adjustments. It will be difficult for the Lions to contain the Chiefs' passing game. He set personal best in targets, receptions and receiving yards last season with the Chiefs. That included nine receiving touchdowns and one rushing score.
The Chiefs need to put up points if they want to stay in this game, and Mahomes will lean on a player he has good chemistry with in McKinnon. Plus, this is the highest total on the board for Week 1. I'm going off my new tackles model, which pegs him at 3. With the superstar TE possibly out, Mahomes likely will have to throw outside more, and that's where Sutton will be.
There is no doubt in my mind that the biggest beneficiary of Kelce's absence will be Moore. Moore was already third in the pecking order behind Kelce and Marquez Valdes-Scantling in terms of predicted snap rate this season, but if Kelce misses time, he'll bump up to first or second, and more importantly he'll operate in those short and intermediate areas of the field that Kelce would have occupied.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Moore get seven-plus targets Thursday night. I am all-in on Gibbs. Lions OC Johnson has said, "Gibbs will be utilized in a variety of ways that will be surprising. Montgomery takes over the role of Jamaal Williams , who scored 17 rushing touchdowns for the Lions last season. The Bears used Montgomery as their goal line back, and he should be even better than Williams.
While the potential loss of Travis Kelce and the absence of Chris Jones are important, Kelce is not worth a two-point line shift under a touchdown in a game like this. Detroit may be improved, but covering a Week 1 road game vs. Kansas City. He exceeded this total eight of 11 games last season excluding the two games he had his injured ankle.
D'Andre Swift had at least three receptions in 12 of 14 games last year. Yet, for game one there will be opportunities. Expect Amon Ra St. Brown to see plenty of attention from the Chiefs defense after his breakout year. Additionally, Jared Goff has an established connection with Reynolds from their long history with the Rams. Play Reynolds over receiving yards.
In Patrick Mahomes' five Week 1 starts, the Chiefs are averaging Meanwhile, the average total points in Lions' Week 1 contests since is Two explosive offenses even if Travis Kelce is limited or doesn't play for KC and two middling defenses in this matchup. Based on the trends and other factors, the over seems like the safest play.
It's a good thing they drafted an elite pass catching running back with the 12th pick overall in Gibbs. He was top in yards per route run in his final three collegiate seasons and he faces a Chiefs defense which allowed the most receptions and fourth most receiving yards to running backs last season. I'll gladly take the chance on the rookie Gibbs to exceed his projection tonight. Jerick McKinnon took on a larger role in the Chiefs offense late in the season, and could be the primary beneficiary in the passing game if Travis Kelce misses the game tonight.
Even if he doesn't, I still like his chances to get over this total. With or without Travis Kelce, you aren't going to catch me out here betting on the Detroit Lions in a primetime game at Arrowhead Stadium against Patrick Mahomes and the defending champion Chiefs. Back up TE Noah Gray is a stud but there is still a small 1. What makes shohei ohtani so good The key to the game going over is that Detroit's offense is well above average but their defense is well below average.
This will be a fun opening night game to watch. They scored no less than 33 points in every opener since and put up 44 against the Cardinals last season. The Lions are ATS in the last two seasons. In non-conference games, the Chiefs are and ATS the last two seasons.
I think the Chiefs will win and also bet them to cover. Amon-Ra St. His targets come at a shallow depth as well which isn't great in real life but good for receptions props. The Chiefs throw the ball as much as any team in NFL, which creates a a lot of high-volume passing environments -- opponents averaged This line is still suppressed because of the concerns with Travis Kelce, who's a game-time decision thanks to a knee injury he suffered earlier this week in practice.
My gut says he'll go so I'll take the discount on the Chiefs here. Andy Reid off a bye is one thing, Andy Reid with a whole offseason. Yes please, even if Patrick Mahomes weapons are limited. I would make this line If he does play, I would make this line Noah Gray isn't Travis Kelce, but he's a very capable tight end who is familiar with the system.
The Chiefs will be forced to delve a little deeper into the playbook without Travis Kelce, which isn't always a bad thing when Patrick Mahomes is the one throwing the football. Primetime home games at Arrowhead Stadium remain one of the biggest home field advantages in the NFL.
Sportsline AI is predicting 3. MVS averaged 2. Kelce averaged 6. Sportsline AI is predicting Besides the prediction this comes down to game plan. Plus, with no Chris Jones in the defensive line the Kansas City Chiefs are going to realize they need to give him a raise. First-round rookie Jahmyr Gibbs lined up in the slot and out wide during training camp, as the Lions looked for ways to use the explosive running back.
He caught passes in three seasons at Alabama, his receptions increasing each year. The Chiefs ranked dead last in allowing catches to opposing RBs last season while giving up the second-most RB targets. Expect Gibbs to make at least four catches Thursday. Liked this regardless but now definitely do considering both RJ and Larry are on the same play this will essentially replace my Travis Kelce prop pick, although I'm still waiting for him to officially be ruled out to delete.
Montgomery isn't the biggest dude but was Chicago's goal-line guy for the most part and surely will be Detroit's as well because Jahmyr Gibbs is even smaller. Jamaal Williams was a goal-line monster in with the Lions and that's now Montgomery's role with Williams in New Orleans.
If you've already locked in a play on the Chiefs at It looks like Chris Jones is going to miss Week 1 barring a big change in his contract situation on Wednesday, and that should mean more room to run in the middle for the Lions behind an outstanding offensive line. Chiefs lions line It sure seems like Travis Kelce isn't going to play after injuring his knee Tuesday I'll delete my prop play on him when official ; obviously, the Chiefs don't need to push the future Hall of Famer to get back on the field two days later.
Can't see KC's best defender in Chris Jones playing, either, since he has been away from the team for weeks holding out. I do think the Lions are overhyped somewhat but if they can't at least stay within 5 with those two out FanDuel is the only book still with 5.
Half unit with so many unknowns, but I want the hook in case we finish or something. Replacing him is David Montgomery. The year-old is set up for a big Lions debut against a Chiefs team missing defensive anchor Chris Jones holdout. Williams received 68 percent of the rushing attempts in Detroit.
The Lions will use first-round rookie Jahmyr Gibbs extensively, but some reports indicate Gibbs will get more chances as a receiver, possibly even running deep routes in Jameson Williams' absence. Look for Montgomery to score at least one touchdown for this potent Lions' offense. The total seemed on the high side from the start, given Detroit's stingy defense during its run to close out last season.
The Lions held five opponents to the teens and another to single digits. Kielce is QB Patrick Mahomes' go-to. Even if the old reliable logs snaps, he might be deployed more as a decoy. Detroit imported three new DBs to repair its oft-shoddy pass coverage in Historically no two teams in Week 1 are better at hitting Overs than the Lions and Chiefs.