If you bet on the underdog, they must either win the game outright or not lose by more than that same number of points. The bigger the spread. Best Betting Strategies for College Basketball · Keep your options open · Take advantage of the edge · Set college basketball betting systems Bankroll · Be aware of injuries · Bet Early. NCAA Basketball betting tips and strategies · Narrow down your options · Size matters · Take on totals · Find value in the futures. The second is if the public is all over a favorite of between and points in the first two rounds. That line range is an indicator. The third is when.
What are considered good odds sports betting? If you are given odds better than one-in-two, it's a good bet. Typically you won't know the exact odds because sporting events aren't that predictable, but this is a key principle to keep in mind when evaluating a bet, especially on a moneyline.
The most common type of bet is the point spread, when one team is favored over another by a certain number of points. For example, if Team A is favored by 5 points over Team B, then Team A must win by more than 5 points for you to win your bet.How do you read NCAA basketball odds? Reading College Basketball Odds
I'm tempted to take Samford, Gonzaga, or TCU from the top half of the region, but I'm not convinced enough that this is the spot to target, so I'm passing on the upper half of the Midwest Region. I originally had Oregon penciled in here, and don't mind if you'd rather go in that direction.
I do have Oregon just one spot behind South Carolina making this game a virtual coin flip meaning the favored Gamecocks aren't really a first-round value. I don't think Oregon's neutral pace and poor shooting defense, while not eliminating the 3-pointer, matches up well against Creighton. South Carolina, on the other hand, presents a very interesting matchup for Creighton. The 'Cocks play at the ninth-slowest pace in the nation and also allow 3-point attempts at the 25th-lowest rate nationally while attempting their own 3s at the 85th-highest rate.
Slowing it down against a favored Creighton team will keep this game closer, and allow 3-point variance to come into play more. By taking away what Creighton loves to do shoot the 3-ball while defending the rim well, and adding your own 3-point variance offensively, the recipe for an upset is there. The two teams split the regular season meetings. And while the committee did them no favors pairing them up against a difficult No.
As the slower-paced and higher power-rated team than the Bulldogs, I fancy Tom Izzo's team a bit more likely to upset North Carolina in the second round. From there, they'd get fast-paced, but erratic Alabama who much like Creighton relies on their 3-point shooting.
Michigan State fouls at a low rate which will help keep Alabama's 10th-ranked free-throw shooting team off the line whereas the Bulldogs would struggle with faster pace and putting the Crimson Tide on the line too frequently. How to Play: Moneyline to the Elite Eight or cash out vs.
Grand Canyon in Sweet I love this spot for Grand Canyon against St. Mary's in the first round. In addition to St. Mary's plodding pace fifth-slowest nationally , Grand Canyon draws fouls at the 10th-highest adjusted rate in the nation which reduced the two things that Saint Mary's does well defensively: rebounding and defending field goals. Mary's also won't necessarily be powered to prevent the Antelopes from getting to the line, as the Gaels foul at a rate relatively close to the national average.
On the flip side, the fact that Grand Canyon themselves foul at a relatively high rate hurts St. From there, Grand Canyon gets that same erratic Alabama team that just needs to go cold from the outside, then ideally faces Michigan State where we can cash both out. College basketball betting systems The Lobos are actually favored over Clemson which is in line with my power rankings.
Pace is a major factor here as New Mexico pushes pace and is favored against the neutral-paced Tigers. In the next round, it helps that with New Mexico as an underdog to Baylor, the Bears are on the slower side which reduces the per-possession efficiency edge Baylor has. Baylor is also a touch overseeded, as I have them as a borderline No. From there, Arizona is going to be a tough out, but we'll worry about that if it gets to it.
There's always a chance Arizona is upset before then. I love Auburn as they power rate as the fourth 1-seed in my power ratings, yet are stuck with a No. Since then, Auburn has won by an average of That's why we'll start by taking Auburn to cover the While the Bulldogs do slow it down a bit, they are a relatively poor free-throw shooting team negating Auburn's one weakness which is their incredibly high foul rate.
From there, Auburn should be able to handle San Diego State in a game where we'll get much better odds to play the moneyline. The Aztecs have lost half of their 20 top KenPom location-adjusted games this year. The Huskies slower pace should help Auburn keep it close, and we'll certainly get a nice plus-money price on the moneyline here.
How to Play: Bet against the spread in the first round, moneyline to Elite Eight after that. This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
US Betting. Get App. Gambling Problem. Call New Users Only. Terms and Conditions Apply. Pictured: Bruce Pearl. Nick Giffen. Download App. As long as these teams keep winning, we will keep betting them on the moneyline, rolling up both our bet and our winnings into each subsequent moneyline bet on that team until either: Two of our chosen teams face each other, meaning we can cash both out.
The team makes the Elite Eight. However, the upside is pretty big. Everything you need to bet like a PRO. Eye-popping betting model edges. Sharp action signals for every slate. Player prop picks bursting with value. How would you rate this article. Sportsbook Promos. Some like to bet the overs when a fast paced team plays against a slower tempo team. Some college basketball fans like to bet against one specific coach or another, particularly in big games.
The truth is many of these strategies might work, but nothing is automatic. You should specialize in smaller college basketball. When oddsmakers set the line for a Duke versus North Carolina game, as much thought has gone into setting that number as it went into deciding the line for a Clippers-Lakers game. Most sites will have nearly identical betting numbers for the Duke-UNC game.
But what about Iona versus Drexel. There is no way the oddsmakers know as much about the inner workings of the Iona Gaels as they do the Duke Blue Devils. If you really apply yourself, you can know more about Iona basketball than even the people who set the lines. How do you do that. First find any possible sources of information on the teams in question.
Join the message boards, scour Twitter and Reddit, find the superfans if there are no pro experts. Consume as much information about your league as you possibly can. Yoshinobu yamamoto odds How do we know that betting on small schools will pay off more than betting on major conference teams. Well, there is proof that the spreads for lesser known teams are less accurate than the power conferences.
Here are the teams with the best records against the spread in The six teams with the best records against the spread were all not in any of the six major power conferences. These are all small programs who the oddsmakers missed wildly on. Hofstra covered the spread in a ridiculous 25 of their 33 games. Southern was 5 points, per game, better than the spread, easily the best number in the country.
The top major school against the spread was Iowa, who went Here are the worst 12 teams against the spread, you will notice a trend among these teams:. Not a major, or even mid-major school to be found in the bottom dozen teams.