Would you rather be on the side of the oddsmakers (the ones that work in the huge lavish casinos), or the NFL betting public? Each week. NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread at FanDuel Sportsbook · Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs · Minnesota Vikings +4 vs. Atlanta. Week 9 NFL picks: Eagles defeat Cowboys in massive NFC East bout; Bengals unanimous winners over Bills ; Dan,; Gennaro, Jason McIntyre breaks down his best bets for the NFL Nfl odds week 9 predictions 9 slate, including the big Dolphins-Chiefs and Bills-Bengals matchups.
Who is the best pick of the week 9 NFL Survivor? Renee Miller: Falcons over Vikings
Who is the best pick for Survivor Pool Week 9? New Orleans will be our safest survivor pool pick of the week, provided that the Chicago Bears are again without the services of quarterback Justin Fields, who remains week-to-week with a thumb injury. The Saints are coming off a 511 total-yard performance against Indianapolis, their most in a game since 2020.
Derek Carr is ATS in his career when laying at least 3. He is ATS as a favorite, the worst mark of any quarterback with at least 50 starts as a favorite in the Super Bowl era. Overs are in Bears games under Eberflus, the highest over percentage in the NFL the last 2 seasons. Unders are in Saints games in that span T-3rd highest under pct. The Texans have lost five straight games outright as favorites dating back to this season.
That is the second-longest active streak in the NFL Panthers: 9 straight. Unders are in Buccaneers games this season with five straight unders. Unders are in Buccaneers games the last two seasons, tied with the Titans for the highest under percentage in the NFL. Four straight Texans games have gone under the total. Indianapolis Colts They are ATS at home unders: Colts games are to the over this season, tied with the Bears for the highest over percentage in the NFL.
The Colts enter this week as 1 of 4 teams that have not been favored in a game this season Packers, Cardinals, Panthers. Last season, the Colts were ATS as favorites. Giants games are to the under this season with 6 straight unders. All 3 Raiders home games have gone under the total this season. The Raiders are ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
The last five meetings have gone over the total. Buffalo Bills Cincinnati Bengals Maybe Joe Barry's defense can finally do its a job against a Rams offense potentially missing its top QB, RB, and offensive lineman, and maybe Nacua too. It's just too hard to feel confident with the status of the best player in the game up in the air, and I lean toward Stafford sitting with the Rams on bye next week.
It's not like either team has been predictable anyway, so I'll stay away, but I'll be watching. Nfl odds week 9 predictions Winner stays very much in the NFC playoff mix. The Vikings grade out significantly better than the Falcons on both sides of the ball. This line moved too far. Hall might be good, and Heinicke could struggle against Minnesota's pressure.
The defense also ranks top five for the season in the first half. Atlanta's offense has been poor all year, but especially in the first half, and the Falcons are just ATS in first halves on the season. Both teams have been going under for the season as Atlanta is to the under and Minnesota is The Falcons have struggled to score all year and Heinicke may not be a magic elixir, especially against a good defense.
If Atlanta wins, it will be because the defense did the job against a rookie QB. Totals at 38 or below that dropped at least 4. When the total drops this low, it's usually for a reason. Too many unknowns to invest, particularly at QB. White hasn't had a great season as a runner. Tampa Bay ranks last in Run Block Win Rate, and he's a better pass catcher anyway and has caught all but one of his targets this season.
White has at least three receptions in six straight games and had six and seven receptions in the past two games. Those numbers are clearly in range, and the game script could help if the Bucs are trailing on the road and Baker Mayfield goes into check-down mode in the hurry-up offense. It doesn't make sense that books are treating these teams as equals on a neutral field.
Houston is inconsistent, but better. The Texans' offense has been far better than Tampa's. Neither team can run the ball, but C. Stroud and Houston's passing game have been outstanding and have the clear edge here. Houston can win this game in the trenches. The Bucs haven't rushed the passer well, so Houston's healthier offensive line can give Stroud time to succeed, and a terrific Texans defensive line can win against the Bucs makeshift line and put Baker Mayfield under pressure.
This was my lookahead pick a week ago. I'll admit I expected the Texans to beat Carolina last week, and that was a disappointing loss, but the Texans are still the better side and are playing at home. I think this line closes at -3 or above, so grab Houston below the key number while you can. Is Dotson finally starting to get going?
It sure looks like it over the past two weeks as Dotson had 18 targets and went over this line in each game with five catches for 43 yards, then eight for yards and a score last week in his best game of the season. It looks like a perfect time for Dotson to step up with another good outing, especially with Curtis Samuel sidelined. The Patriots have the one good unit on the field, their defense.
New England's pass defense has been uneven but should get pressure on Howell, and the stout run defense should limit Washington's better attack. Washington ranks bottom four on both offense and defense in the first half of games, so this is a great chance for the Patriots to get in front and get an easy win against a poorly coached team that looks like it might be packing it in for the season.
I do like the Patriots here, but not enough to go to crazy. I'll play a half unit on Patriots -3, but go no further. Think of it less as betting on Bagent and more as betting against Derek Carr and Dennis Allen as huge favorites. The Saints are the better team, but not by as much as this line reflects. Chicago's offense is 12th in EPA and first in the run game. The defense is also first against the run and 19th overall, not great but no longer terrible.
For two teams that lean so heavily on the run, that improvement means Chicago can hang — or even win. Chicago's defense ranks bottom five for the season by DVOA, both overall and against the pass. Carr's debut season in New Orleans hasn't been great, but this is a good spot for him to put up big numbers.
Chicago has allowed 17 passing TDs, the second most of any team. It's always tricky with Carr since he loses red zone touches to Taysom Hill, but Carr has thrown at least two touchdowns in two of the past four games. If the Saints are the real deal, Carr should be able to find the end zone twice. The Bears aren't good. But they're also no longer as terrible as they looked the first few weeks.
It's almost always a good idea to consider fading Allen and Carr as favorites. When Carr is more than a 3-point favorite, he's just SU and has lost five of his past six. This line is too high for two teams that simply aren't this far apart. Packers rams line I'd love to find you some Cards prop but let's be real: Clayton Tune is in big trouble. Arizona's offense ranks 26th in DVOA on the road and bottom three overall the last three weeks after a hot start, and we're down to unknowns at QB, RB, WR, and TE with a bad, young line against a filthy defensive front seven.
A rookie QB under pressure all game is sure to make some mistakes. Could that lead to a defensive score. How about two. We've had 21 games over the last decade with multiple defensive TDs. That's 0. Is this game twice as likely as a random one to see two defensive touchdowns?
Sure feels like it. There is some good news for Cardinals fans. Who the heck knows what the offense will look like with Watson playing. That makes it too hard to feel confident in this side to cover or even win a teaser, but the defense is worth trusting. Cleveland has already held two opponents to three points, so how about a home shutout. We've seen 53 shutouts over the past decade, about 2.
That's about one every three weeks. It's Week 9 and we've had two shutouts, so we're due. Is this game 3. It's easily the most likely shutout on the slate. I loved Browns Will Watson suck. Will he finish the game. Will Kyler Murray get in. I'd guess no, yes, no, but the one thing I'm confident in here is that Clayton Tune starting on the road against this Browns defense will go very poorly.
I'll sprinkle two goofy outcomes for it going really poorly. Looking for a new sportsbook in Arizona, Cardinals fans. Nfl odds week 9 predictions But it's hard to bet a side in such a big game knowing so little. If Dallas does play well, it'll have to be on Prescott's shoulders. The Cowboys rushing attack has not been great and could struggle against a top defensive front that ranks 1st in Run DVOA.
But the Eagles pass defense looks very leaky, dropping from 17th to 23rd by DVOA just last week alone, and veteran corners Darius Slay and James Bradberry both look beatable while Philadelphia is dead last against tight ends. Prescott is over this line in five of seven games, and the two unders were huge blowouts where he sat late.
He's over As great as Dallas's defense has been at times, the run defense remains a bit vulnerable. Further enhance your betting experience with our guides, handpicked for you:. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and its partners may receive compensation for links to products and services on this website. The Arena Media Brands editorial team is not involved in the creation of this content.
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