Nfl playoff betting trends
Saturday Wild Card Betting Trends · Cleveland @ Houston +, Total 44 | Matchup Report · Miami @ Kansas CityTotal 44 | Matchup Report · Pittsburgh @. The Texans () and Buccaneers () are nfl playoff betting trends 30th and 31st teams to enter the playoffs with odds or higher entering the season since. BYE week top seeds in the divisional round that are favored by or more points are SU (71%) and ATS for 39% winning bets. Football betting trends: Nico Collins, Christian Watson and Dawson Knox are touchdown scorers to watch in the NFL divisional playoff round.
NFL Wild Card Betting Trends, Stats, Notes: Action Network Betting Primer
Please wait while your request is being verified...
The problem in this scenario is that we don't know which bucket to put these teams in. You're likely to see people betting on the top seeds to say "the bye week helped them rest up and they'll be ready to go," while underdog backers will mention "it's very possible we see their opponent come out flat.
I think you'll see a lot of both sides during the rest of the week as you consume betting content, and I urge you to remember how little we actually know sometimes. Simply being aware of our lack of knowledge is enough to look past our biases and focus on the games themselves. Accountability is huge in the sports betting industry. If you're going to follow anybody's picks or trust their analysis, you should want them to be as transparent as possible about their successes or failures.
I plan on doing a full synopsis of my thoughts and picks for the season to go over what we learned, but for now, here's a quick reminder of a few narratives I mentioned last week. Trend to follow: Underdogs are good values ATS and outright underdogs went ATS and outright, with the Rams losing by a single point Trend to fade: QBs in first career playoff starts struggle they went ATS and outright, with the two wins coming in dominant fashion.
All things considered, it was a successful week of betting theory, one that we can hopefully continue to apply in the divisional round. The Ravens and 49ers might end up being a little stiff coming off the bye week, but anytime I can tease a heavy favorite through three of the most common win margins of three, six and seven points, I feel obligated to do it. We're getting clearly superior teams here, with coaches who understand how to win in the playoffs.
This version of Lamar Jackson isn't nearly as fallible as he has been previously keep in mind it's been three years since we saw him in the playoffs , and I believe Green Bay thrived last week because Dallas was predictable on both sides of the ball; that's one thing you can count on Kyle Shanahan to avoid. Wanna guess how many teams were less effective in the run game than the Buccaneers this season?
This line is set above the median for what the Lions allowed to starting RBs this season, and above the median of White's rushing output. It's the least efficient rushing team, as an underdog, on the road, against the league's best run defense. The math ain't mathing. Since Joe Brady took over as Bills offensive coordinator, Buffalo has had three blowout wins, in which Allen has averaged six rushing attempts per game.
In the other five games, he averaged 10 attempts, hitting the over on this number in all but one game. Early in the season, Allen was encouraged to play within himself, in an attempt to keep him under control. Brady has reshaped the offense to allow Allen to play the role of superman whenever necessary, but not put the weight of the world on his shoulders for a full 60 minutes.
Allen should be expected to go all out in a playoff game against the Chiefs. It's also worth mentioning that he has hit double-digit rushing attempts in each of his past four games against Kansas City. Nfl playoff betting trends The best part about this bet is that it's immune to game script.
If the Bills are trailing, we probably get more scrambles and more open-field running lanes in the fourth quarter. If Buffalo is leading, Allen likely had a hand in it, and we could end up getting a couple kneel-downs to help put us over this total as well. Skip to main content Skip to navigation. NFL playoffs: How to bet on the divisional round. Football's climate change threat: Flooded stadiums, too hot to train.
Major feat: Korda takes Chevron, wins 5th in row. Inter on brink of title against fierce rivals Milan. Ten Hag: Man Utd 'got away with it' in semifinal. On the other side: Entering this season, Baker Mayfield became the fifth QB to start Week 1 for three different teams in consecutive years.
The only QB of the five aside from Mayfield to make the playoffs after that first stint. Brett Favre with the Vikings in , who won one playoff game and lost in the conference championship game. Click here to return to the table of contents. 
System : After both teams go over the total in their previous game, the under tends to be a good play when they matchup a week later.
This system is in the playoffs last 20 years. Below is the Anytime TD sheet — which encompasses every player to score a TD in so far and their total units for the entire season. Notes below from Gilles Gallant. Now for the "First TD data. Dogs are. Only loss was playoff game vs. The most profitable ref to the under of 20 diff.
Favorites are ATS in those games. For this weeks trivia question, we are just looking for one answer. Click the button below to reveal the right answer. Trivia Question: Can you name the biggest playoff upset of the last 20 years in terms of point spread. This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page.
The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. US Betting. Get App. Gambling Problem. Call New Users Only. Terms and Conditions Apply. Evan Abrams. Download App. Double Trouble Circling The Trend. Weekly Game Play in article below.
Tap carrot below to expand. For more information on betting percentages, line moves and ticket counts, access our Action Network odds dashboard. View System. Coaching Matters Career in Playoffs. For more information on NFL leader odds, check out our NFL futures page with updated markets odds below are from preseason.
The ultimate NFL betting cheat code. Best bets for every game. Nba player matchup stats Our model's biggest weekly edges. Profitable data-driven system picks. How would you rate this article. Follow Us On Social. Sports Betting Calculators. How to Bet On Sports.