Tuesday's game. San Diego State has put together a record against the spread this season, while Boise State is The Aztecs are and the. Based on our computer. Get real-time NCAAM coverage and scores as the Boise State Broncos take on the San Diego State Aztecs at pm EST boise state vs san diego state basketball prediction March 08,
The Broncos have an underrated offense that rarely struggles. Its biggest issue is depth, as BSU is outside the top in bench minutes. This is a well-balanced Boise offense, as no player takes more than a quarter of the shots while on the floor. Both rank inside the top 20 in 2-point percentage in MWC play.
Rice and Chibuzo Agbo are the primary shooters for this team. Rice hasn't been as dominant from the perimeter Boise prefers playing in more physical games and takes advantage of other teams' overaggressiveness, drawing plenty of fouls in the process. The Broncos shoot a Mountain West-best Jaedon LeDee was kept in check, though, as he had just seven free-throw attempts and 13 points.
The Broncos are a difficult team to read at times and rank st in consistency, per Haslametrics. While they've won five of their last six, most of those games were against Mountain West bottom-feeders. They won't repeat as regular season champions. LeDee is one of the most difficult big men to guard in the country, and he draws 7. The Aztecs have plenty of backcourt depth and shot creators, but they've largely struggled from 3.
This is a top team in terms of Open 3 Rate San Diego State doesn't turn the ball over, instead largely operating off the dribble. A quarter of its shots come in the mid-range. In general, this offense ranks 60th in adjusted efficiency. On the other end of the floor, the Aztecs rank seventh in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and are dominant covering the perimeter.
This is the No. SDSU forces opponents into late shot-clock situations, and it's an above-average rebounding team — primarily because of LeDee. Jay Pal has also been a burst of energy in limited time off the bench. Boise state vs san diego state basketball prediction In conference play, the 6-foot-9 Campbell transfer is inside the top 10 in rebounding, block rate and fouls drawn per 40 minutes.
There are few teams more consistent than San Diego State —third, per Haslametrics — but it's in the mid s in terms of luck, per KenPom. I wrote about this game in my weekly spots piece , and despite projections having this game San Diego State -5, the line has opened up at my stopping point of 6. Depending on when you're reading this, it may be past the threshold.
In that case, I would look toward parlaying Aztecs ML with another decently-sized favorite. I would consider -7, but I wouldn't buy past that. San Diego State has all the motives it needs. This is an extremely experienced team, and these five seniors are playing their final game at Viejas Arena. Oh, and by the way, SDSU lost in a close game to Boise State when it couldn't hit the broadside of the barn from distance.
I expect this time to be different. San Diego State will create the opportunities on offense — finishing is the final part of the equation — and has an exceptional defense that should once again stifle the Broncos. The Aztecs find themselves in unfamiliar territory — outside the top four of the Mountain West for the first time since One win is all that separates the two seed and the sixth.
The Broncos took home a win in the first meeting between these two, win at ExtraMile Arena. Can San Diego State exact revenge for its early-season loss in the regular season finale, or will Boise State sweep the season series. Just The Broncos have an underrated offense that rarely struggles.
Its biggest issue is depth, as BSU is outside the top in bench minutes. This is a well-balanced Boise offense, as no player takes more than a quarter of the shots while on the floor. Both rank inside the top 20 in 2-point percentage in MWC play. Rice and Chibuzo Agbo are the primary shooters for this team.
Rice hasn't been as dominant from the perimeter Boise prefers playing in more physical games and takes advantage of other teams' overaggressiveness, drawing plenty of fouls in the process. The Broncos shoot a Mountain West-best Jaedon LeDee was kept in check, though, as he had just seven free-throw attempts and 13 points. The Broncos are a difficult team to read at times and rank st in consistency, per Haslametrics.
While they've won five of their last six, most of those games were against Mountain West bottom-feeders. They won't repeat as regular season champions. LeDee is one of the most difficult big men to guard in the country, and he draws 7. The Aztecs have plenty of backcourt depth and shot creators, but they've largely struggled from 3.
This is a top team in terms of Open 3 Rate San Diego State doesn't turn the ball over, instead largely operating off the dribble. A quarter of its shots come in the mid-range. In general, this offense ranks 60th in adjusted efficiency. On the other end of the floor, the Aztecs rank seventh in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and are dominant covering the perimeter.
This is the No. SDSU forces opponents into late shot-clock situations, and it's an above-average rebounding team — primarily because of LeDee. Jay Pal has also been a burst of energy in limited time off the bench. In conference play, the 6-foot-9 Campbell transfer is inside the top 10 in rebounding, block rate and fouls drawn per 40 minutes.
There are few teams more consistent than San Diego State —third, per Haslametrics — but it's in the mid s in terms of luck, per KenPom. I wrote about this game in my weekly spots piece , and despite projections having this game San Diego State -5, the line has opened up at my stopping point of 6. Depending on when you're reading this, it may be past the threshold.
In that case, I would look toward parlaying Aztecs ML with another decently-sized favorite. I would consider -7, but I wouldn't buy past that.