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Published: 22.03.2024

Niners chiefs odds

The 49ers are favorites to defeat the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58 according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile. KC: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is against the spread in his career as an underdog. 49ers vs. Chiefs: See picks at SportsLine. View the best 49ers vs Chiefs odds, betting trends, and line movements for 04/20/ We've got their head to head and last 10 game results. The 49ers are favorites to defeat the Chiefs, according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps. WEEK 3 (Sept. 24): Beat the Chicago Bears at home as a point favorite. The total (51) went over the point line. Record:
Photo: niners chiefs odds

The 49ers are favorites to defeat the Chiefs, according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps. When it comes to the odds, the 49ers opened as 3-point favorites over the Chiefs. That number moved quickly, as San Francisco is currently. View the best 49ers vs Chiefs odds, betting trends, and line movements for 04/22/ We've got their head to head and last 10 game results. Niners chiefs odds 3 (Sept. 24): Beat the Chicago Bears at home as a point favorite. The total (51) went over the point line. Record:

Super Bowl LVIII Point Spread: How Chiefs, 49ers Have Fared vs. The Number This Season

What is the line between Kansas City and San Francisco? San Francisco is a 2-point favorite in the latest 49ers vs. Chiefs odds from the SportsLine Consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. The 49ers are -127 money-line favorites, while the Chiefs are +107 underdogs.

Who is most likely to play the Super Bowl in 2024? LAS VEGAS, Feb 6 (Reuters) - The San Francisco 49ers are slight favourites to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday's Super Bowl, according to bookkeepers, with a record 67.8 million Americans expected to place bets on the NFL's title game.

Who is MVP of Super Bowl 2024? Mahomes

Chiefs vs. 49ers prediction for 2024 Super Bowl, plus how to bet the spread & over/under

This season, the Chiefs defense has completely flipped the script from last year as it has been one of the best units in the NFL. On the other hand, the 49ers defense has proven it can be beatable at times, especially like the Lions did in the NFC title game where they consistently moved the ball up and down the field for almost the entire first half.

It'll be tough for Kansas City to guard all the weapons that San Francisco has as its disposal. It's also important to note that the Chiefs lost one of their best interior lineman, Charles Omenihu, who was third on the team with seven sacks this season, to a torn ACL in the AFC Championship game. All these factors lead me to believe that while we likely won't see the point barrage from a year ago, both teams will still be able to score often in this one.

For the second consecutive season, the Chiefs find themselves as underdogs in the Super Bowl. Mahomes has flourished when his team is not favored, winning nine of those 12 times. We saw in Super Bowl 57 how the Chiefs were still able to move the ball against a great defense in the Eagles. I make the Chiefs We told you Big Red will stick with the heavy personnel usage even against the Ravens top ranked D with their great LBs.

He's played 59 more snaps than TE3 Bell in playoffs and Mahomes trusts him. Kelce will be smothered after catching all 11 targets. Easy pop passes to TE2 gets us cash again. Hits in 8 of last 11 games played away from Arrowhead this season. He averages 10 YPC in that span and tends to show up more often when the season is on the line like last week or like the 49ers last SB trip 3 catches for 39 yards.

The way this is priced if you believe he is going to catch a ball , then the odds are overwhelming that barring it being a 1-yard TD catch, that reception will top two yards, for much better value. The underneath stuff is a problem for a 2-deep defense. The 49ers defense comes into this game with a clear directive: slow down Patrick Mahomes.

That should leave plenty of room to run for a guy in Pacheco who has had at least 15 carries in eight of his last nine games. At his season average of 4. But then you look at a 49ers team that has struggled to stop the run in recent weeks, giving up plus rushing yards in five of their last six games after doing so just three times in 13 games prior. Niners chiefs odds I expect this line to climb to the If you've read my Rashee Rice props then you know the 49ers weakness on defense is stopping the run.

The LIons ran for 5. Rice's median receptions per game on the regular season was 4. He did go over this number in two of three playoff games however he was targeted 21 times and caught 16 passes total in those two over games. San Francisco's weakness on defense is stopping the run.

I think Isaih Pacheco will be offensive weapon 3, with Mahomes 1 and Kelce 2. Rice is 4. Rice went under in two of three playoff games and his median number for the season is 58 yards. The 49ers weakness on defense is against the run and the Chiefs should really take avantage. In the controled environment of Allegiant Stadium the 49ers offense should feel right at home.

Aiyuk's median yards per game at home was and in all games it was The 49ers have so many weapons that Aiyuk is that one guy that always seems open. When the games get this important the best teams put the game in the hands of their best players. He had 20 rushing attempt last week. Photo: niners chiefs odds Purdy has easily topped this number in both playoff games so far and had eight regular-season games with at least three carries.

Plus, we get a possible kneeldown. Rice medians about Thus, I project he needs 7 catches to eclipse this number. Rice was at 6. BUT it took PMahomes 30 completions for him to get that 8. Mahomes has played 6 games indoors and been held below 27 once 17 at Indy in ' SF D has issues and play action could be a real problem for them in this game. KC was able to sit on the ball at Baltimore in scoring 17, but I don't see that luxury here.

I also think KC defense can provide a short field or two for quick scoring. And they have a stud kicker. The trust is only building with Marquez Valdes-Scantling. He's stepped up the past two games, especially in high pressure situations, showing Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes trust him despite the regular season. There is a solid chance this could cash on one reception, I'd look into playing his longest reception prop too.

The Sportsline Model projects him for 23 yards. With Rashee Rice looking a little less explosive the past two weeks, there could be some more targets for MVS. Baltimore didnt run the ball on this defense but it's very vulnerable and Kyle Shanahan won't make the same mistake. Shanahan knows his pass protection is suspect and his QB is still figuring some things out. He will lean heavily into the run game and CMC in outside zone rushes.

CMC is over this in 7 of last 8 games. I don't see them down by 17 like last time out, changing game script to pass-heavy, and this KC secondary is far superior to its run front. Lot of 2 deep. He is the physical runner who gets multiple cracks at the endzone and this has been money. He has this in 6 of the last 7 games with 8 total TDs in that span.

An option in the pass game, too. The interior of this OL can push the 49ers around. Andy Reid will lean into this. He wants to eat clock, avoid turnovers and run the ball. Mahomes can put it in spots where only this TE can get it, they are in peak form and Kelce will be fresher than ever for this game. This has hit 18 times in 17 games together.

Caught all 11 of his targets vs the best D in the NFL, on the road, in sloppy game conditions. Even the 49ers LBs will have issues here. I like how TEs have attacked them the last 6 weeks. Steve Spagnuolo with all this time to prepare, and some very interesting film to watch on this young QB dating back to the Ravens game. His blitz principles can mimic some of what Ravens DC Mike Macdonald did to contuse and turnover Purdy, SF has a leaky OL and Purdy's abb accuracy has been shaky, especially early in games and this is the biggest game of all.

Spags will have some Cover-3 and Cover-6 looks to pick up where others have left off. Texas vs detroit prediction They can get some tipped balls vs the right side of the line. Chiefs corners are stout. Andy Reid knows his tackles are limited in pass protection and as much as the 49ers pass rush has suffered in last six weeks, they still have some dudes.

I see ample opportunity for Pacheco to control the clock for what has become a TOP team. He will have more explosive runs against this D than at Baltimore and also better field conditions to do so. I am banking on plus carries and figure this number grows by kickoff, especially if Chiefs get some good news on the injury front. Pacheco wasn't himself at Baltimore but two weeks off will make a huge difference.

He started running it much more during the second half last season and has ridden it since Week 13 when Pacheco got healthy and seems intent on getting him 20 carries. Even like on Sunday when it wasn't really going anywhere. They can get Joe Thuney back for this game and really road-grade a 49ers D that stinks against middle runs - KC leads NFL in middle run percentage since Week 13, and that's all Pacheco.

The 49ers played man coverage on just snaps this season. Defensive coordinator Steve Wilks plays a soft zone and takes away the bomb with two deep safeties. Patrick Mahomes was much better against zone this season and has embraced the safe, short-passing game. It leads to long Chiefs' drives. Look for Mahomes to come out throwing and go Over Brock Purdy has rushed 11 times in two playoff games, and I like him to easily clear The Chiefs love to blitz, leaving their corners in man coverage with their backs turned.

Lamar Jackson held the ball too long in the pocket in the AFC title game, passing up scrambles that could have extended drives. Look for Purdy to hit those gaps a couple times and clear this number. This is a different Chiefs team. They don't beat you down with a ton of points. They do it with their defense, as they made the Ravens look discombobulated.

On their first two drives, the Chiefs methodically moved down the field for touchdowns. Patrick Mahomes gets eight yards at a time and keeps the other team off the field. I can see him doing that again. He's the best who's ever done it. His running won the game, but otherwise, he was a little fortunate. Niners chiefs odds Mahomes knows how to manage the game, and that's what will win this matchup.

The 1. Did you see Lamar Jackson hold the ball forever as no one got open. Unlike Detroit, K. Brandon Aiyuk has struggled through two postseason games despite having beatable matchups. Outside of a flukey 51 yard reception, Aiyuk has mustered just 13 targets, 5 receptions, for 50 yards.

Now he will face an elite KC pass defense coordinated by Steve Spagnuolo who has done a tremendous job limiting plays in the splash zone. Purdy and Aiyuk do not appear to be on the same page and I believe it's going to be difficult to get behind this vaunted Chiefs secondary. I've just been so impressed with the way KC has played throughout the postseason.

They're balanced, Travis Kelce is still dominating over the middle of the field, they have an excellent young WR in Rashee Rice. Then you pair that with the best defense that Patrick Mahomes has had access to in his career. The 49ers are undoubtedly a talented roster but nearly lost to the Packers and the Lions.

I will ride with the Chiefs. The Chiefs are in the Super Bowl for the fourth time in five years, and they got there by winning two straight road games as underdogs. Yet the market is making them a 'dog on a neutral field. The 49ers may have been the better team in the regular season, but they peaked prior to the playoffs, where they've scraped by at home twice as big favorites. The Chiefs are playing their best ball right now, with their receivers shaking off early-season drops to pile up first downs.

Patrick Mahomes vs. Brock Purdy, and the Chiefs have the better defense and are catching points. We know what to do. Mahomes as the dog again. Grab it. Chiefs have covered 5 straight and 49ers once again failed to last week. Best unit in this game is the Chiefs defense, and they will be prepared. Experience matters in the SB, especially at QB, and somehow Mahomes is already here for the 4th time.

Andy Reid showing a willingness to burn clock and win in the teens Sun, sticking with run even when it wasn't working, speaks volumes. And Pacheco will be healthier and OL will be healthier and they will run the ball downfield, up the gut, on an overrated defense. SF KC.

Join Now. Understanding Public and Money Read More. Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors referred to as 'Sharp Money' are favoring a particular side.

WIN Unit 1. Erik Kuselias Smart Money. Erik's Analysis: Take the Niners early. Total Receptions Brandon Aiyuk Under 4. Erik's Analysis: So many reasons to go under. Josh Nagel Senior Analyst. Josh's Analysis: Although the price is a bit chalky, it has actually dropped from a high of or steeper at some outlets. Josh's Analysis: The 49ers' defense has been leaky in the playoffs, while the Chiefs' stagnant offense came alive just in time for the postseason.

LOSS Unit 1. Josh's Analysis: The dual-threat bellcow is a generational talent. Zack Cimini Contrarian with Chutzpah. Zack's Analysis: Brandon Aiyuk is certainly going to be in for one of his toughest assignments of the season. Alex Selesnick PropStarz. Alex's Analysis: Brock Purdy is going to have his hands full with a Chiefs pass defense that surrendered just James Kaylor The All-American.

James's Analysis: Samuel will likely see a lot of man coverage from Kansas City's defense. Total Receptions Rashee Rice Under 6. Alex's Analysis: Isaiah Pacheco has had an excellent season but has really come on strong down the stretch and through the postseason. Total Carries Brock Purdy Over 3. Jason's Analysis: Purdy needs all the help he can get in this game against an elite defense and top coordinator.

Money Line San Francisco LOSS Unit 2. Daniel Vithlani Danny Brasco. Daniel's Analysis: It seems the entire observable universe is betting on the Chiefs White Super Stat Geek. Kenny White Wizard of Odds. Kenny's Analysis: Purdy is playing in his first Super Bowl and pressure in a real thing. Total Carries Patrick Mahomes Over 4. Kenny's Analysis: Mahomes could have three kneel downs to end the game.

Larry Hartstein The Maestro. Larry's Analysis: The 49ers know K. Adam Silverstein Florida Favorite. Adam's Analysis: It's telling that sentiment and money is heavily on the Chiefs, yet the odds have not budged. Larry's Analysis: Chiefs safety Justin Reid made just four tackles in the AFC title game, but this matchup should lead to more production.

Sia Nejad Counselor of Cash. Sia's Analysis: McCaffrey doesn't hit this number with the frequency that I'd like, but we are in the playoffs now and it's very clear that his heavy involvement is the clearest path to a Super Bowl victory. Sia's Analysis: This game can certainly go either way, but with two weeks to prepare, I am expecting a much better effort from the 49ers defense and I expect a healthy 49ers offense to move the ball.

Sia's Analysis: The Deebo injury last month could have truly ended the 49ers season, but he was able to come back in time and contribute to the climb to the Super Bowl. Point Spread San Francisco Mike Tierney Top Dog. James's Analysis: Kansas City's defense is susceptible against the run, and McCaffrey is the best running back in the business right now.

Point Spread San Francisco -2 James's Analysis: For me, this comes down to best player in the world Patrick Mahomes vs. Brett Anderson The Profit. Brett's Analysis: What better way to cap off a strange season for gambling than with this Super Bowl line, one where the public team, the defending champ, is the underdog. Dave Richard Fantasy Football Guy.

Dave's Analysis: I think the Chiefs defense will play a lot of zone coverage and pressure Purdy up front. Dave's Analysis: The line shouldn't be anywhere near this high. Mackenzie Brooks The Rookie. Mackenzie's Analysis: Jauan Jennings could find himself some opportunity in this matchup. Larry's Analysis: Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has nailed 15 straight field goals and I like him to make at least two indoors in the Super Bowl.

Longest Reception Brandon Aiyuk Under Eric Cohen EC. Eric's Analysis: I like this number for Deebo's receiving yards alone, but just in case, we'll throw rushing attempts in for good measure. If you make a purchase by clicking one of the links, we may earn an affiliate fee.

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