New Mexico has a chance to play spoiler tonight and they already have a win against Utah State, beating them by a score of earlier this. Expect the Aggies to control the tempo, leveraging Great Osobor's all-around play and Darius Brown II's playmaking to secure a home victory. Score Prediction: Our model predicts a final score of Utah State utah st vs new mexico prediction, New Mexico 75 ; Spread Prediction: Our model says to take New Mexico + (projected spread. The New Mexico Lobos will take on the Utah State Aggies on 3/9/ Doc's has NCAA basketball predictions, picks, and tips for this matchup.
If they win this game, they could lose at the MWC Tournament next week and still have a shot at an at-large bid. They wouldn't sleep peacefully, but they would be in the hunt as opposed to various bubble teams which would have been eliminated. The pressure is on coach Richard Pitino, who has to win on the road against the regular-season Mountain West champions, led by coach Danny Sprinkle, who has been mentioned as a possible candidate for the open head coaching job at the University of Washington.
The Huskies have announced they are not bringing back Mike Hopkins. The Lobos will be hungry and motivated in this game. They could have just beaten Air Force and made life simple, but they didn't. Now they have to register one more high-quality win.
Beating the Mountain West champions on their home floor in front of a hostile crowd would qualify as doing something special. New Mexico needs this game a lot more than Utah State does, and that — in the end — could represent the difference. The Aggies will at least share the Mountain West championship and could win it outright with a victory here in this game.
Danny Sprinkle has done a tremendous job of assembling, developing, and coaching this roster. It's a team which has blended well all season long, working and communicating at a high level. New Mexico has a high frequency of taking the ball inside and attacking the rim. This could work in favor of the Lobos. The Lobos are also efficient when posting up while Utah State struggles at defending this setup.
It's just another advantage for New Mexico. On the other hand, New Mexico doesn't take many 3s while Utah State can lock down the arc. Like New Mexico, Utah State likes to take the ball inside. New Mexico also struggles to defend 2-point range as opponents are shooting Utah State ranks 18th in points per possession at the rim per Shot Quality , while New Mexico ranks below th in points per possession on defense in this area.
Utah State should hold a tremendous advantage inside offensively. Utah st vs new mexico prediction In addition, Utah State is adept at drawing plenty of fouls — Great Osobor and Ian Martinez are the two to watch in this aspect of the game. New Mexico fouls often on the defensive end and does not get to the free-throw line much on offense. The Aggies should hold the free-throw edge as well.
Utah State ranks within the top 25 in rebounding on the defensive end, but that hasn't translated to the offensive glass. Utah State has an advantage in more aspects of the game than New Mexico. The Aggies, however, could be vulnerable on the glass offensively and allow buckets inside. However, the Aggies are also really good at scoring inside.
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