The Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions in the NFL opener. Here is the Las Vegas betting line, spread and odds for the football game. The NFL Week 1 Odds list the Chiefs as -7 point favorites with a betting total of The two don't play each other often. Lions vs Chiefs Odds ; Spread, Total, Moneyline ; o / u. The Chiefs (, ) get the home opener against a Lions team that finished betting line chiefs lions season strong. With the status of both Travis Kelce .
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If you've already locked in a play on the Chiefs at It looks like Chris Jones is going to miss Week 1 barring a big change in his contract situation on Wednesday, and that should mean more room to run in the middle for the Lions behind an outstanding offensive line. It sure seems like Travis Kelce isn't going to play after injuring his knee Tuesday I'll delete my prop play on him when official ; obviously, the Chiefs don't need to push the future Hall of Famer to get back on the field two days later.
Can't see KC's best defender in Chris Jones playing, either, since he has been away from the team for weeks holding out. I do think the Lions are overhyped somewhat but if they can't at least stay within 5 with those two out FanDuel is the only book still with 5. Half unit with so many unknowns, but I want the hook in case we finish or something. Replacing him is David Montgomery.
The year-old is set up for a big Lions debut against a Chiefs team missing defensive anchor Chris Jones holdout. Williams received 68 percent of the rushing attempts in Detroit. The Lions will use first-round rookie Jahmyr Gibbs extensively, but some reports indicate Gibbs will get more chances as a receiver, possibly even running deep routes in Jameson Williams' absence.
Look for Montgomery to score at least one touchdown for this potent Lions' offense. The total seemed on the high side from the start, given Detroit's stingy defense during its run to close out last season. The Lions held five opponents to the teens and another to single digits. Kielce is QB Patrick Mahomes' go-to. Even if the old reliable logs snaps, he might be deployed more as a decoy.
Detroit imported three new DBs to repair its oft-shoddy pass coverage in Historically no two teams in Week 1 are better at hitting Overs than the Lions and Chiefs. The last 12. Lions games are to the Over while KC sits at Certainly not calling for any type of game, but we don't need much less to cover the Under.
Both teams definitely like to air the ball, but the groundwork will be the focus. Should be a fun game, best of luck to everyone this season. I love getting plus money for Mahomes to do things he routinely does. Betting line chiefs lions In his five season openers he has a The Lions allowed a They were dead last in allowing Andy Reid became much more balanced offensively in the second half last season.
Pacheco emerged as his most trusted back, averaging 14 carries for 70 rushing yards in his final nine regular season games. He had at least 10 rushes in all three playoff games, going for 95, 26 and 76 yards, with only the Bengals — who like the Titans have some secret sauce vs. The Lions allowed 22 runs of 20 yards or more and 16 runs of 25 yards or more last season, most in the NFL and nearly twice the league average.
Pacheco breaks one of those and we are already halfway home to the total. McKinnon was a major red-zone force for this offense down the stretch. He closed with six straight regular-season games with a TD, with nine total TDs in that span. He had at least two targets in each of the final seven games of the regular season.
The Lions struggled like heck to cover TEs around the end zone a year ago, and I suspect they sell out to stop Travis Kelce. I see McKinnon benefiting most from that focus, especially with Kadarius Toney another small and shifty player missing so much time to injury this summer. Mahomes clearly loves him and he is a guy to look for on the other end of some improvised jump passes and off-script QB wizardry around the goal line.
Andy Reid has won eight straight season openers, and won five of the last six by 10 points or more. Update: The Travis Kelce injury matters. But is his potential -- and I say potential because there's still a chance he plays as of Wednesday morning -- absence worth two points to the line. I'm going to trust Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes' dominance in Week 1, and there's enough quality depth at receiver that I still think the Chiefs score plus points as usual in their opener.
My initial power ratings projection had the line at Chiefs Lay the 4. DET KC. Join Now. Understanding Public and Money Read More. Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors referred to as 'Sharp Money' are favoring a particular side.
Point Spread Kansas City -4 LOSS Unit 1. Josh Nagel Senior Analyst. Josh's Analysis: With Travis Kelce officially ruled out, this line took one last dive and it marks perhaps the first time in NFL history that a spread moved two points because of the absence of a tight end, even if he's one of the best to ever play the position. Erik Kuselias Smart Money. Erik's Analysis: The Lions will run it.
Bob Konarski BurghBets. WIN Unit 0. Matt Severance Severance Pays. Matt's Analysis: This got much more expensive with Travis Kelce out but we'll throw a half unit on Gray as he should get at least a handful of targets now. WIN Unit 1. Sia Nejad Counselor of Cash.
Sia's Analysis: I'm not sure I know a single person who is on the Lions, and yet, the line seems to be frozen at 4. Point Spread Kansas City Adam Silverstein Florida Favorite. Erik's Analysis: He exceeded this total eight of 11 games last season excluding the two games he had his injured ankle. Total Receptions Jahmyr Gibbs Over 3.
Erik's Analysis: D'Andre Swift had at least three receptions in 12 of 14 games last year. Zack Cimini Contrarian with Chutzpah. Eric Cohen EC. Tom Fornelli TrustTheProcess. Tom's Analysis: Jerick McKinnon took on a larger role in the Chiefs offense late in the season, and could be the primary beneficiary in the passing game if Travis Kelce misses the game tonight.
Tom's Analysis: With or without Travis Kelce, you aren't going to catch me out here betting on the Detroit Lions in a primetime game at Arrowhead Stadium against Patrick Mahomes and the defending champion Chiefs. Kenny White Wizard of Odds. Micah Roberts Former Vegas Bookmaker. Total Receptions Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 6. Alex Selesnick PropStarz.
Alex's Analysis: Amon-Ra St. Cody garbrandt payout Will Brinson Big Oil. Will's Analysis: This line is still suppressed because of the concerns with Travis Kelce, who's a game-time decision thanks to a knee injury he suffered earlier this week in practice. Mike McClure Money Mike. Mike's Analysis: I would make this line LOSS Unit 0. Jason Spector The Speculator. Jason's Analysis: Sportsline AI is predicting 3.
Jason's Analysis: Sportsline AI is predicting Larry Hartstein The Maestro. Larry's Analysis: First-round rookie Jahmyr Gibbs lined up in the slot and out wide during training camp, as the Lions looked for ways to use the explosive running back. Matt's Analysis: Liked this regardless but now definitely do considering both RJ and Larry are on the same play this will essentially replace my Travis Kelce prop pick, although I'm still waiting for him to officially be ruled out to delete.
White Super Stat Geek. Matt's Analysis: It sure seems like Travis Kelce isn't going to play after injuring his knee Tuesday I'll delete my prop play on him when official ; obviously, the Chiefs don't need to push the future Hall of Famer to get back on the field two days later. Mike Tierney Top Dog. Mike's Analysis: The total seemed on the high side from the start, given Detroit's stingy defense during its run to close out last season.
Allan Bell Cash It. LOSS Unit 2. Jason's Analysis: I love getting plus money for Mahomes to do things he routinely does. Jason's Analysis: Andy Reid became much more balanced offensively in the second half last season. Jason's Analysis: McKinnon was a major red-zone force for this offense down the stretch. Jason's Analysis: Andy Reid has won eight straight season openers, and won five of the last six by 10 points or more.
Detroit Lions. Friday, Apr 19, Kerby Joseph. Hip Questionable. Monday, Apr 08, Jermar Jefferson. Undisclosed Questionable. Betting line chiefs lions The question is, by how much. I'd much rather bet on one of the three other teams than Detroit to win this division and get a better ROI. Dolan: The Lions gained hype because they finished down the stretch and made some good offseason additions.
I am not bought in on them, however. In case you forgot, the Lions ranked dead last in yards allowed per game last season. The Lions made some additions to the defensive side of the ball, including C. The Vikings to win the division at is more enticing. He's clearly the best quarterback in the league right now and if he has the best numbers, he'll probably win.
Narratively, it's there for him still: The team lacks receivers and now Kelce might miss time. If Mahomes can still lead the Chiefs to success -- and I think he will -- that will only bolster his case. Fulghum: I agree with everything Seth wrote. He nailed it regarding how to approach Mahomes this season. As far as Thursday night's opener against the Lions, I'm not betting against Mahomes.
He's at home. Andy Reid has had all preseason to prepare for this game -- even the loss of Kelce. I trust they'll live up to their end of the bargain offensively, even given the extenuating circumstances. Moody: You should still bet the over on Mahomes' passing yards prop.
Since becoming the starter in , he has averaged With Kelce off the field, Mahomes' quarterback rating and yards per pass attempt are lower, but his completion percentage remains the same. The Lions' defense allowed Noah Gray could play a bigger role if Kelce is out.
There's no doubt head coach Andy Reid will make the right adjustments. It will be difficult for the Lions to contain the Chiefs' passing game. He set personal best in targets, receptions and receiving yards last season with the Chiefs. That included nine receiving touchdowns and one rushing score.
The Chiefs need to put up points if they want to stay in this game, and Mahomes will lean on a player he has good chemistry with in McKinnon. Plus, this is the highest total on the board for Week 1. I'm going off my new tackles model, which pegs him at 3. With the superstar TE possibly out, Mahomes likely will have to throw outside more, and that's where Sutton will be.
There is no doubt in my mind that the biggest beneficiary of Kelce's absence will be Moore. Moore was already third in the pecking order behind Kelce and Marquez Valdes-Scantling in terms of predicted snap rate this season, but if Kelce misses time, he'll bump up to first or second, and more importantly he'll operate in those short and intermediate areas of the field that Kelce would have occupied.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Moore get seven-plus targets Thursday night. I am all-in on Gibbs. Lions OC Johnson has said, "Gibbs will be utilized in a variety of ways that will be surprising. Montgomery takes over the role of Jamaal Williams , who scored 17 rushing touchdowns for the Lions last season. The Bears used Montgomery as their goal line back, and he should be even better than Williams.
Kansas City will likely be without Jones, making its interior defense line weak against the run. This prop immediately caught my eye after learning about Kelce's hyperextended knee. Over the past five seasons, the Chiefs have relied more on their running game when Kelce isn't on the field. As a rookie, Pacheco led the Chiefs with rushing yards and added yards in the playoffs behind an offensive line that was fifth in run block win rate.
Pacheco also ranked 14th in the league with 2. This season, Pacheco could shine even brighter behind a Chiefs offensive line with two new tackles. It's also important to note that the Lions allowed Goff threw for 4, yards and 29 touchdowns last season under first-year offensive coordinator Johnson, who returned to the team after emerging as a head-coaching candidate late last season.
Johnson and Goff should be even more calibrated this year. Goff averaged Brown and rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs on Thursday night. If Kelce is inactive, Moore has the potential to lead the Chiefs in targets.