Anyone hoping California Gov. Gavin Newsom or some other Democrat will take President Biden's place on the ballot is likely to be. Explore poll data on the General Election between Trump gavin newsom 2024 odds Newsom with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for. Gavin Newsom is making a bid for national political standing, but could he actually mount a successful campaign for the White House? Stay updated with the latest betting odds for the US Presidential Election. Find the best odds for candidates like Donald Trump, Joe Biden.
First, he would have to win the Democratic nomination by running the gauntlet of primary elections, which means raising tens of millions of dollars, building a national political campaign apparatus and spending every waking hour hopping from state to state trying to connect with very different voter bases. Harris is just one of the likely Democratic hopefuls that Newsom would have to overcome in His chances of emerging triumphant would depend on many factors large and small, but the two most important would be the identity of his Republican rival and how well he could market himself to voters in about a half-dozen swing states.
Donald Trump won the presidency in because he captured the electoral votes in some states that Democrats had taken for granted in previous elections. Newsom occupies a place on the ideological scale to the left of Biden and to the right of Bernie Sanders. For the past year he has quietly moved drifted rightward in governing California, annoying the progressives who had hoped he would embrace their ambitious agenda to remake California.
Opposition researchers would have a field day with Newsom. GOP campaign operatives would use images of a dystopian California — such as homeless encampments and smash-and-grab robberies — to suggest that a President Newsom would infect the rest of the country. Could Newsom overcome all of those hurdles and claim the White House. Trump proved that nothing is impossible.
But the odds certainly are against it. We want to hear from you. Want to submit a guest commentary or reaction to an article we wrote. You can find our submission guidelines here. Please contact CalMatters with any commentary questions: commentary calmatters. Here's a visual representation of how the odds for the Top 5 US Presidential election candidates have changed since January As pictured above, the election odds took an interesting in twist in December of when Ron DeSantis became the favorite among multiple oddsmakers.
Since then, however, Donald Trump and Joe Biden have reclaimed the Top 2 spots, making a repeat of the Presidential Election very likely. Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Republican Nomination and run for President in the election, and their latest odds from bet Here are some more details on the current and past Republican candidates that made a run in the Presidential Election, including former President Donald Trump, current Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and others.
Despite legal woes, former United States President Donald Trump has remained in the Top 2 when it comes to odds to win the Presidential Election odds. No matter the news cycle, Trump seems to inevitably rise. In the Republican Nomination odds, he has moved comfortably ahead of Haley. Gavin newsom 2024 odds Haley also has substantial leadership experience as the governor of South Carolina from It was a long and steady fall for the man who once was favored to win it all.
DeSantis' presidential future though shouldn't be written off in the years to come, as he has been embraced for not following the herd. He is also considered a Trumpian figure for the next generation, which means he is a viable two-term candidate down the line. The problem for DeSantis, though, is that his campaign elicited a collective yawn, and he failed to outlast Nikki Haley as Trump's most significant Republican challenger.
Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Democratic Nomination and run for President in the election, and their latest odds from bet Here are some more details on the current Democratic candidates who could run for the Presidential Election, including President Joe Biden, California Governor Gavin Newsom and others. Across most oddsmakers between early and mid, Joe Biden was consistently the favorite to win, with the best Presidential Election odds.
This has changed as of late, however, as former President Donald Trump is now the election betting favorite. It appears Biden, who will be nearly 82 years old when voters head to the polls in November , now has some ground to gain to reclaim confidence from oddsmakers. The Californian is wrapping up his first term as governor and is a popular figure.
He beat Brian Dahle handily in the California gubernatorial election to shore up his support. He has endorsed Biden and said that he would not run. Commitments in politics are unbreakable, right. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. He has carved a niche and is now third among all candidates. On April 19, the environmental attorney University of Virginia announced he would challenge Biden for the Democratic nomination.
Kennedy, who ran for president in and was killed that June. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters. But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her. Kamala Harris odds to win the Presidential Election are very low compared to other candidates.
The former Senator made some headlines recently attacking DeSantis and Florida. Harris could be on the ticket with Biden again as VP. In April he endorsed president Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination. However, one big reason California sports betting apps and sites still give Newsom a 3.
If Newsom is selected as the Democrats' pick for the US presidential election then he would face a monumental battle to make it to the White House. Not only would he be up against the GOP machine, but convincing voters he is the man for the job would be difficult after his recall vote in Donald Trump — Priced at in the election odds, Trump looks in the perfect place to return to the Oval Office.
So long as he can keep the DOJ and various lawsuits at bay, the ex-president looks to be the favorite for the election by this time next year. In recent weeks, Haley has shot up odds boards. Although Haley is a distant second to former President Trump in current betting odds, she has surpassed Gov. Ron DeSantis who had been viewed as the most likely Republican candidate to push Trump for over a year.
Newsom's vice presidential nominee would be a little more obscure than the presidential candidates. It's unlikely Harris would accept the job under a new boss, while it's hard to see how Robert Kennedy Jr. Other options are:. It's worth noting here that sportsbooks really don't have much to go on with regards to who will be the VP in Harris is expected to support Biden once again, but if Biden can't run for president then the race blows wide open.
It is certainly possible that Newsom is elected president in November However, there are a lot of barriers in his way. The first is Biden. Newsom is endorsing president Biden and won't run against him in the primaries. But if Biden suffers a health scare — and, at 80, who's to say he won't?
He would then need to win the Democratic primaries, which would be a free-for-all if Biden isn't there. Win the Dems' pick and then the real work begins. Could Newsom beat Trump. That's no easy challenge. Beating Florida Gov DeSantis might be more straightforward, but the Republican nomination is almost certainly going to the former president.
The battle for the top pick on the Democratic side isn't really a contest right now.