Ufc 286 picks
UFC picks: Fighters predict the Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman 3 headliner. By Will Miles. Modified Mar 16, GMT. In the UFC main event, Kamaru Usman takes on Leon Edwards for the third time after a surprise defeat to Edwards in August of last year. He primarily uses his wrestling foundation to keep the ufc 286 picks standing, sporting a respectable 75% takedown defense. To be fair, he hasn't lost. Share Video On Saturday night, Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards meet in a rubber match for the welterweight championship in the main event of UFC.
UFC 286 Predictions, Start Time & Odds for Edwards vs. Usman: Sat, 3/18
UFC 286 predictions: Will Usman take back the throne from Edwards?
Yet she is our closest thing to a unanimous pick at Vettori nearly is a favorite at the betting window, but he only has a lead in the picks. Please enter an email address. Something went wrong. Edwards vs. Usman Fiziev vs. Gaethje Barberena vs. Nelson Maia vs. Kamaru Usman 3 preview show with Dan Hardy. UFC official weigh-in highlights and photo gallery.
More UFC. Share this article share. Upcoming Events. Plus, Usman was hurt by Colby Covington. He was hurt by Gilbert Burns. As a reference point, Usman has absorbed more than significant strikes in his UFC career. Only one of them knocked him unconscious.
Could it happen again. Ufc 286 picks Yes, it could. But the more likely outcome is that Edwards continues to land a low volume of strikes at range, as he has done for his entire career, and Usman can survive. Usman is also the superior wrestler, and likely wants to fight more cautiously in the trilogy fight. I expect him to lean even more heavily on his wrestling, where Edwards only defends takedowns at 68 percent.
Overall, Usman is one of the best round winners in the sport, and Edwards will continue to have an uphill battle to climb, as his best tool will be neutralized. Perhaps he will find another big moment to finish Usman and defend his title, but I think Usman deserves to be the rightful favorite to reclaim his belt.
Usman closed at in their championship fight, and I would argue, even despite losing via knockout, that there was value on his betting line there as well. If he can no longer absorb strikes without taking severe damage, then Edwards is incredibly live to win and may be a great value target. Personally, I prefer the Usman moneyline and will have action there myself. If he had simply survived the final 56 seconds, he would be north of to win in this trilogy, and although I am slightly nervous about his durability, I am happy to put my faith in his dominant round winning ability in a favorable stylistic matchup.
I am actually really disappointed that the betting line is not more competitive in this matchup, as BetMGM has Vettori lined at , because I would be itching to bet against Dolidze otherwise. Look no further than his last matchup against Jack Hermansson, who took Dolidze down twice, but was reversed into a tricky leg lock position that allowed Dolidze to freely land ground-and-pound until the ref stepped in.
With that said, Dolidze also destroyed the knee of Phil Hawes in his victory prior, and eventually knocked him out cold after Hawes admirably attempted to continue fighting. Most good fighters should be able to take him down, and five of his last six opponents have.
His offensive wrestling is adequate, and he lands 2. 
He has actually only taken down three of seven opponents, with eight of his nine UFC takedowns coming against low-level talents in Laureano Staropoli and John Allan. He tired out against Staropoli and Trevin Giles, and I expect that will still cause him problems moving forward.
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