How to bet the Preakness Stakes: Chris 'The Bear' Fallica's expert picks, best bets · 1. National Treasure (John Velazquez/Bob Baffert); · 2. The lineup comes from Pimlico and were established after the post positions were preakness betting tips on May 16th, Need the winner for the Preakness Stakes? Look no. Horses have been known to change styles, but the vast majority have consistent styles. True front runners always try for the lead when possible. Front runners. The Preakness Stakes is almost here and we have the best Preakness picks and best bets you need to know when handicapping your horse.
What are the best numbers for a trifecta? Good runners to include in trifectas are those whose form figures total 15 or less. If looking for a bit of value look for runners for second and third whose form figures total between 16 and 25. Very poor runners are those whose form figures total more than 30.
What is the best way to bet a trifecta? One popular approach is to play it when you believe the favorite either cannot win or stands a strong chance of finishing out of the money. Confining a favorite, especially a heavy one, to the lower rungs of the Trifecta or leaving it off your ticket entirely is when the wager is most playable.
What is most common trifecta? One of the most common Trifecta wagers is the four horse box. This is a $48 bet for a $2 Trifecta. This wager contains only one possible winning combination and 23 combinations that are 100% guaranteed to lose. Over time, consistently making this kind of wager will surely cost you money.
Mage, a lightly raced colt who went off at in the Kentucky Derby, was able to close from the back of the pack in that race after the leaders tired. Mage's connections will likely be hoping for another fast pace, but he's not a stone-cold closer who has to be in the back. He has come off slow in his past two races and ended up in that position, but that wasn't the case in his first two starts.
Expect him to be closer to the front but not in the lead. While Mage certainly ran an impressive Derby, he'll be coming off less rest than any horse in the race, which is something to consider when making bets. National Treasure was transferred to Baffert's former assistant Tim Yakteen for the Santa Anita Derby because of Baffert's ban from accumulating points to get into the Kentucky Derby, but is running for Baffert again for the Preakness.
A fourth-place finish in the Santa Anita Derby didn't earn enough points for entry into the Kentucky Derby, but he should have a good shot to win this race if he can get an early lead. He'll likely try to do that from the rail. National Treasure has had issues with focus, which is likely why blinkers are being put back on for this race.
It's a tossup as to whether he has matured enough that it'll do the trick. Chad Brown has been successful with new faces in the Preakness, winning the race with shot Cloud Computing and last year's race with Early Voting. Both were late bloomers who didn't do much as 2-year-olds. Blazing Sevens won the Champagne Stakes last fall and recently finished third in the Blue Grass Stakes, although neither winner Tapit Trice nor second-place finisher Verifying did much in the Derby.
Don't underestimate the outside factors with this colt. The ownership group chose to pay the fee after his performance in the Federico Tesio Stakes, when he won by a head as a long shot despite stumbling out of the gate and being cut off late into the race. The scratch of First Mission brings the field size down to seven horses, which makes the betting options pretty limited.
It also bumps up Mage's chances of taking the Preakness while giving him even less value to handicappers than before. Handicappers that like Mage can try to single him in horizontal bets like Pick 3s and Pick 4s, which means selecting the winners of multiple races. We won't get into those bets here, and instead will focus exclusively on this race while trying to beat Mage.
Exotic bets such as exactas and trifectas also provide better value than a straight win bet on Mage would. National Treasure won't offer as big of a payout as he might have with First Mission in the field, but getting anywhere near his morning line odds wouldn't be too bad. Preakness betting tips He has the ability to stalk or set the pace, and Baffert can't be counted out of these races, even after his hiatus.
He could certainly position himself nicely to have a chance to win. We won't do too many combinations here because of the small field. Box National Treasure with Blazing Sevens, meaning the bet will cash if either horse wins. Ideally Mage would not hit the board in this situation because his odds would offer a small payout, but he would also have to run a very poor race, so whether he should be included or not at the bottom of exotic bets depends on the handicapper's conviction against him.
With that strategy in mind, here is a sampling of bets you could make if you like National Treasure and want to avoid the favored Mage. With only seven horses in the field, I'll set up a trifecta with a few likely outcomes to maximize my chances to win. Here are the three horses I will be using to win or place in my trifecta. Mage The favorite and rightfully so -- considering he won the Derby.
We saw in the Derby that this horse has a good mind, and push-button speed. He will want a fast pace to win. Javier Castellano will be his jockey again. Blazing Sevens Did not race in the Derby in order to be ready for the Preakness, a decision his trainer has made twice, and won both times. National Treasure Bob Baffert horses have won the Preakness seven times and are looking for the eighth on Saturday.
Red Route One Gun Runner is his sire. He has a good running style and has impressive closing speed. If given the correct ride, could be a factor. Perform Won the Tesio Stakes from nine back, which was impressive. Has the same sire as Mage Good Magic. Could challenge at the end.
Skip to main content Skip to navigation. Triple Crown: How to watch and how to bet the Preakness. Boston Celtics. NHL odds to win playoffs, Stanley Cup, conference futures. How interpreter Ippei Mizuhara became players' lifeline. Secretariat, Afleet Alex and Affirmed are famous winners of this Baltimore race, although winner Justify was not only able to secure this leg of the Triple Crown but also secure a victory in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes.
There are different types of horse racing bets when it comes to the American race meetings, with the best Preakness Stakes odds often landed by shopping around the different gambling operator websites. It takes a special horse to win the Preakness Stakes and this thoroughbred race usually takes place on the third Saturday of May every year. We would always look to create a shortlist where we can narrow down the number of runners and bet in different ways.
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