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Published: 05.01.2024

Week 4 nfl bets

Steelers at Texans. Melina Myers/USA TODAY Sports. Over/Under: Rams at Colts. Over/Under: Dolphins at Bills. Over/Under: Cardinals at 49ers. Bill Streicher/USA Today Sports. Chiefs at Jets. Over/Under:
Photo: week 4 nfl bets

Explore the NFL Week 4 Odds for Betting Lines, and in-depth analysis. Make informed choices for your football wagers on the NFL season. NFL Week 4 picks, schedule, odds, injuries, fantasy tips ; Cardinals () at 49ers (). p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SF (44) ; Chiefs (). NFL Week 4 point spreads · Detroit Lions 34 at Green Bay Packers 20 FINAL · Atlanta Falcons (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) week 4 nfl bets Miami Dolphins. Best bets: Texans over Steelers, Jaguars over Falcons, Panthers cover against Vikings, Bears over Broncos, Jets keep it close against Chiefs.

Here are our 5 best NFL Week 4 picks against the spread, plus one over/under to bet on

NFL Week 4 picks against the spread: C.J. Stroud continues his strong start

The pick: Bills. Fields was clearly distracted by Taylor Swift being in the crowd in Kansas City last week. That, and all the I-hate-my-coach, I-love-my-coach stuff. But now, he gets to face a Broncos defense that opts to not rush the quarterback. Denver has created pressure on an NFL-low The Bears also are very generous on defense, though not as bad as the Broncos against the run.

Can they start trading guys now. The pick: Bears. The Browns defense is no joke. Cleveland has allowed an NFL-low 3. They have a star in Myles Garrett , made some great offseason pickups on the defensive line to help him out and have good tacklers and cover guys behind him. The Browns force three-and-outs on The public is in on the secret, and this spread has moved four points because the Ravens are banged up.

Joe Burrow has to be better this week, right. The pick: Bengals. The Rams lost to a clearly limited Burrow on Monday night, so how are they going to slow down Richardson, who is back from a concussion. Yeah, I heard it when I wrote it, but I am sticking with it. Richardson should be able to beat the slow Rams defense with his legs and arm, while the Colts defense will harass a hobbling Rams offensive line and poor Matthew Stafford.

Like me and that Dolphins pick last week, Stafford — 1 for 11 on third downs last week — should have retired after that Week 1 performance. The Bucs got pounded by the Eagles , and now they have to go to New Orleans for another potential dreaded Jameis Winston revenge game. Week 4 nfl bets Winston might start for an injured Derek Carr , and Winston did nothing against the Packers last week that should scare his former team.

But … tip of the cap to the great Lee Corso … not so fast. The Saints get Alvin Kamara back from suspension, and he is on all three of my fantasy teams. Nobody should ever tell anybody about their fantasy teams. I agree. Saints in a coin flip. And if Carr plays, it was a two-sided coin. Carter and the Eagles defensive line should feast against a bad Commanders offensive line.

OK … you convinced me. The Panthers stink less than the Vikings, and were actually beating the Seahawks in the third quarter last week before sustaining more injuries and crumbling. Tough call here, but Dalton is good enough to get the Panthers a three-point loss at home against a bad team. The Steelers should be able to run the ball against the Texans, but I think the Texans outscore them.

The Raiders are hopeful that Garoppolo can play, and that plus their home-crowd advantage in LA gives them a shot. Photo: week 4 nfl bets But if no Jimmy G, taking the Chargers will be money for free. The pick: Raiders. The Ezekiel Elliott revenge game. The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Cardinals.

The Patriots are pretty good defensively, and at first glance, this spread looks too big. But be careful backing a team with no offensive playmakers on the road. Dallas ranks fifth in opponent passer rating Patriots QB Mac Jones ranks 25th or worse against man coverage in completion percentage 50 percent, 25th , passer rating But they are 27th against the run, and that is not a recipe for success against a 49ers team that has won 13 regular-season games in a row.

And then you have Brock Purdy leading starting QBs in passer rating I thought the 49ers might take a little nap against the Giants last week, and they did — but they converted every third-and-long and won going away. Injuries: Ravens Browns. Cleveland's defense also ranks first in run stop rate. Jackson is ATS as an underdog outright , the best cover percentage and winning percentage as an underdog by any quarterback with at least 10 starts in that role.

Matchup must-reads: Jackson upset about Ravens' inability to finish Watson steers Browns to bounce-back win Ravens' Clowney: No 'bad blood' exists with Browns How Browns are moving forward at RB after Chubb's injury. Storyline to watch: Look for the Titans to take shots down the field, especially using play-action. The Bengals' young safeties Dax Hill and Nick Scott will be eager to come up and help against the run, especially for a defense that has taken pride in slowing down RB Derrick Henry.

Both throws traveled plus yards in the air. Meanwhile, the Bengals have allowed an NFL-high Bold prediction: Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons and the rest of the Titans' defensive line will have no sacks. Cincinnati's much-maligned pass blocking has made big improvements over the past two weeks.

That and QB Joe Burrow 's especially quick release because of his right calf injury will lead to a lack of production for one of the NFL's best interior defensive lines. Stat to know: The Bengals have allowed only five sacks this season, their fewest through three games since Cincinnati is seeking its 12th straight game allowing fewer than three sacks would be its longest streak since 18 straight from to '06 and second-longest in franchise history.

Matchup X factor: Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins. He has been notably absent, with just receiving yards through three games, and his 46 Open Score via our Receiver Tracking Metrics is an eyebrow-raiser. The Bengals need more from him. Injuries: Bengals Titans. What to know for fantasy: It is difficult to run on the Titans' defense, but you can throw on them.

This year, Tennessee's secondary has allowed Quarterbacks have averaged They are outright and ATS as home underdogs under him. Matchup must-reads: Burrow: Risk of going outweighed chance of re-injuring calf Titans players tired of empty winning talk amid losing trend Burrow using Rodgers as 'resource' on calf injury Skoronski recovering from ruptured appendix.

Storyline to watch: A key to this game will be the matchup of the Colts' surging front seven against the Rams' offensive line. The Colts' defense is second in the NFL with 12 sacks. Bold prediction: Colts QB Anthony Richardson will become the first quarterback since with a rushing touchdown in each of his first three NFL games.

The Rams have allowed four rushing touchdowns in their first three games of the season, including one to 49ers QB Brock Purdy. Stat to know: The Colts have lost six straight home games. A seventh defeat would mean their longest home losing streak since they dropped eight straight in the franchise record is nine. The interior of the Rams' offensive line is vulnerable, and that should open the door for Buckner to disrupt or sack Stafford.

Injuries: Rams Colts. What to know for fantasy: The Colts' defense has given up the seventh-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers, so insert Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell into your fantasy lineups. Indy's defense is allowing Plus, the Rams might rely heavily on the passing game because the Colts rank fourth in run stop win rate.

Betting nugget: Rams road games are to the under since the start of last season. Matchup must-reads: Rams hope to have Kupp back in Week Moss finally feeling 'appreciated' amid career highs. Free picks against the spread nfl Storyline to watch: The Saints will get RB Alvin Kamara back from suspension this week, which couldn't be more timely for a team that averages Whether they have QB Derek Carr is a question, as Carr is currently recovering from a right shoulder injury sustained against the Packers on Sunday.

If Carr can't go, then Jameis Winston will be getting the start against his former team. David has 3. Barrett also had 2. Stat to know: Baker Mayfield 's one interception is the fewest he has thrown in the first three games of a season in his career, while his three sacks taken are tied for the fewest in the first three games.

Mayfield has never gone the first four games of a season without throwing multiple interceptions. Penning's pass block win rate is That presents an opportunity for Tryon-Shoyinka and could result in him getting to Winston or Carr. Injuries: Buccaneers Saints. What to know for fantasy: The Buccaneers' defense ranks last in the league in run stop win rate and this unit just gave up rushing yards to Eagles running back D'Andre Swift in Week 3.

That presents an opportunity for Kamara, especially since Jamaal Williams is on injured reserve. In 26 career games where Kamara has had plus rushing attempts, he has averaged Bowles is ATS. Matchup must-reads: Bucs, Evans preparing to renew heated rivalry with Saints How the Saints can get a boost with Kamara back Eagles dominate Bucs in battle of unbeatens Saints' Carr on injury: If I'm out there, then 'I'm good'.

He has been sacked a league-high 19 times and has been pressured the fifth-most of any QB in the NFL Now he faces a disruptive interior defensive front featuring Fletcher Cox , Jordan Davis and rookie Jalen Carter , who ranks second among defensive tackles with 15 pressures. Howell's five interceptions are the second-most entering Week 4, while the Eagles' defense is tied for second in takeaways with eight.

Bold prediction: Washington will sell out to stop the Eagles' rushing attack -- D'Andre Swift in particular. He has rushed for a combined yards the past two weeks, but the Commanders will hold him to fewer than yards. Washington has been boom or bust against the Eagles' rushing attack in the past four meetings.

The Commanders have held them to less than rushing yards three times -- but gave up in the fourth meeting. The Commanders will use a lot of their five-man defensive fronts against arguably the best offensive line in football; the key will be how Philadelphia throws the ball. Stat to know: Jalen Hurts ' 29 rushing touchdowns are the most by a quarterback in his first 50 games in NFL history Sunday will be Hurts' 49th career game.

He is looking to become the seventh player in Eagles history to record 30 rushing touchdowns and would join Randall Cunningham 32 as the only QBs to reach that mark. Slowing down the Eagles' run and forcing them to the air -- where they've been a little shaky -- seems crucial if Washington has any hopes of pulling an upset. Injuries: Commanders Eagles.

What to know for fantasy: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith has played four games against the Commanders in his career, averaging 7. All three covers were outright wins. Matchup must-reads: Commanders confident Howell 'growing pains' will bring improvement Swift helping carry Philly offense in multiple ways Why Harris had to win Commanders' bidding war. Storyline to watch: The Panthers and Vikings are two of four teams in the NFL, and neither were expected to be in this position.

Each has reason to believe they can get a win. The Vikings, with an offense ranked third overall and second in passing There are a lot of strengths versus weaknesses in this one. Week 4 nfl bets Bold prediction: Running back Alexander Mattison will have the Vikings' first yard rushing game of the season. The Vikings acquired Cam Akers from the Rams last week, and Akers will get some playing time Sunday, but Mattison will play with an extra competitive edge.

It helps that the Panthers' defense is allowing He needs yards to set a franchise record for most passing yards through the first four games of a season he set the record in Matchup X factor: Young. The reality is the offense was better with Andy Dalton in Week 3 than it was with the rookie QB in the first two weeks.

So much hinges on whether and how quickly the No. Injuries: Vikings Panthers. What to know for fantasy: The Vikings' defense has allowed the third most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Adam Thielen has a favorable matchup against Vikings slot cornerback Josh Metellus , so the Panthers wide receiver should do well against his former team.

Matchup must-reads: Vikings' defense could be bigger worry than situational mistakes in start Thielen 'feels like a kid again' as he prepares for Vikings O'Connell threatens to bench players over turnover issues. Stroud has yet to throw an interception in his NFL career. Tunsil and Jones aren't on injured reserve like Howard, Green and Scruggs, but they might not play on Sunday.

Bold prediction: Steelers edge rusher T. Watt will tie his single-game career-high with four sacks. Because Stroud excelled at getting the ball out quickly against the Jaguars' blitz, the Texans didn't surrender a sack a week ago -- but gave up 11 in the previous two weeks.

Watt had multiple sacks in two of three games this season, plus older brother J. Watt will be inducted into the Texans' Ring of Honor this weekend. Count on a friendly yet fierce sibling rivalry to get a little extra juice. Stat to know: Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin's record against rookie quarterbacks is the best record of any coach vs.

Matchup X factor: Texans wide receiver Tank Dell. The rookie third-round pick ranks second in yards per route run against man coverage among wide receivers with at least 50 routes and looks like an emerging star. Injuries: Steelers Texans. What to know for fantasy: The Texans' defense ranks 19th in run stop win rate and has allowed the fourth most fantasy points per game to running backs.

Colts running back Zack Moss scored That bodes well for Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. They are ATS in their past eight home games. Matchup must-reads: Can the Steelers' offensive improvement vs. Raiders be trusted. Stroud makes history. Storyline to watch: Both teams' top receivers, Keenan Allen of the Chargers and Davante Adams of the Raiders, are fresh off dominant performances.

Allen threw a passing touchdown and had 18 catches for yards and a receiving score last week against the Vikings; Adams had 13 receptions for yards and two touchdowns against Pittsburgh. Now, they both face struggling pass defenses. The Chargers' secondary has allowed the most passing yards this season 1, , and both teams are tied for the third-most passing touchdowns allowed seven.

The Raiders' O-line allowed Garoppolo -- who is in concussion protocol -- to get sacked four times last week. Stat to know: Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has consecutive passes without throwing an interception, the longest streak in team history. Matchup X factor: Chargers cornerback Michael Davis. He's allowing 2. That's part of the reason the Chargers' pass defense has been so poor.

Injuries: Raiders Chargers. What to know for fantasy: With just two rushing attempts of more than 10 yards and six passes of more than 20 yards, the Raiders have generated the fewest explosive plays in the league. Betting nugget: The Raiders have covered five of their past six division games. The past four division games have gone under the total. Matchup must-reads: Rookie or vet if Garoppolo can't start?

The pros, cons and QB questions for the Raiders Williams' injury sets the stage for rookie Johnston Ekeler, back at practice, says Week 4 'a possibility'. While Elliott's homecoming has been a central theme this week, the Cowboys need to find the form they had in the first two weeks defensively after a no-show against the Cardinals. Stopping Elliott and Rhamondre Stevenson will be at the top of the list, but offensively, they will have to find a way to score touchdowns in the red zone vs.

The Cowboys have converted six touchdowns in 15 red-zone trips. New England did not allow a red-zone trip to the Jets last week. Bold prediction: Elliott will score his first rushing touchdown as a Patriot against his former team. Elliott is coming off his best game in New England 80 yards on 16 carries , and the Cowboys have shown a vulnerability against the run, ranking 30th in yards per carry allowed 5.

Stat to know: Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is averaging a career-low 6. The air yards is second-shortest in the league, behind only Colts rookie Anthony Richardson. Matchup X factor: The Patriots offensive line. It already ranks last in pass block win rate and now is facing Micah Parsons and the Dallas pass rush. Good luck. Injuries: Patriots Cowboys.

What to know for fantasy: The Patriots' offensive line helped New England amass rushing yards in Week 3. This Patriots grouping should remain together for a second consecutive week, which is noteworthy since this group did not get many reps together during the summer. That could be big for the Pats' running backs against a spotty Dallas rush defense.

He is ATS as an underdog in his career outright. And the Patriots are ATS in their past seven games as an underdog. Matchup must-reads: Will Jones get Patriots' deep-passing game going against Cowboys. Cowboys' red zone struggles continue in loss to Cardinals Elliott looking forward to facing Cowboys. Storyline to watch: The Cardinals' win against the Cowboys in Week 3 should serve as a warning to the Niners that Arizona is not to be taken lightly, especially with San Francisco scheduled for a Sunday night showdown against Dallas in Week 5.

The Niners pride themselves on being the most physical team in every game, but a run defense that hasn't been tested much this year opponents have attempted just 43 rushes, the fewest in the NFL through three weeks will be challenged.