Odds as of January 12, These charges are based on Trump illegally mishandling several classified records after leaving the presidency by. The chances that Trump will be a convicted felon by Election Day have dropped It could still happen — but trump prison odds four prosecutions of Trump have. That gives decent odds of a verdict by election day. If Mr Trump is convicted, sentencing will be up to Judge Chutkan. She has required prison. I cannot precisely figure the chances of 45, going to jail between now and November The cases are solid, the evidence is overwhelming.
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Donald Trump. It carries a minimum prison term of five years, with a maximum of 20 behind bars. A RICO charge will undoubtedly be the hardest for Ms Willis and her team to prove, as it involves fewer allegations and less evidence of specific illegality and instead relies on the prosecution convincing a judge and jury that the overall effort by Mr Trump to change the election results in Georgia crossed the boundary into becoming a fully-fledged criminal enterprise.
Should that fail, however, Mr Trump also faces 12 other felony counts, all of which carry the potential for incarceration. The question also lingers as to how long Mr Trump can maintain his costly legal defences in all four cases, given how many millions of dollars four high-profile criminal defence trials are likely to add up to. In the end, the answer to the question of whether Mr Trump will ever see the inside of a jail cell may come down to not whether he will be convicted, but whether jailing a former president is even feasible.
Should he win the general election this year, an entirely new layer of complexity is added to the mix. The one certainty surrounding the multiple prosecutions is this: Donald Trump, regardless of the outcome of his many trials, has already pushed American democracy far into the bounds of the unknown and the unprecedented.
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