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Published: 22.12.2023

Week 17 nfl over under

NFL Week 17 games lines: Fresh off MNF upset, 49ers biggest favorite of the week · The Chargers are ATS as underdogs this season (covering. Everything you need to know about NFL odds for Week lines, spreads and betting trends for every game from Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson. Here are the NFL Week 17 betting odds for every game, including moneylines, point spreads and totals. NFL Week 17 Odds and Betting. Week 17 of the NFL season kicks off with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns. Check out the latest NFL Week 17 odds below, where you can compare Over Under. Thurs, Dec. 28, Jets at Browns (-7), Jets +; Browns
Photo: week 17 nfl over under

Patriots at Bills Week 17 Odds · New England Patriots Moneyline: + · Buffalo Bills Moneyline: · Spread: Bills () · Total: Week 17 OVER UNDER picks · Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts (44): Under · Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants (42): Over · San Week 17 nfl over under 49ers at. Sunday's Early Slate: · Spread: Eagles () · Moneyline: Eagles (); Cardinals (+) · Over/under: Los Angeles Rams. UPDATE P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, the Packers are -3 () in WynnBete's NFL Week 17 odds market. The Packers opened last.

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What is the NFL prediction model? The model creates probabilities for every game. Including the Playoffs. Utilising a vast array of variables and proven statistical methods, the NFL Predictions Model takes a purely statistical approach to predicting NFL outcomes.

What is the most accurate NFL prediction model? nfelo is a prediction model built on top of 538's Elo framework that uses unique dynamics about the NFL to improve prediction accuracy. It is one of the (if not the!) most accurate public models available on the internet.

What is the number under the spread? The point spread is the expected final score difference between two teams. It is represented as both a negative and positive number; if the spread is 3 points, you'll see that as both -3 and +3. The team that is the favorite to win gets the minus-number (-3); the underdog gets the plus-number (+3).

NFL Week 17 odds: Moneylines, point spreads, over/under

The Indianapolis Colts are coming off one of their worst performances of the season in the 29—10 road loss against the Atlanta Falcons. Indianapolis has scored at least 20 points in all their home games so far this season, including the 30 unanswered points during the Week 15 victory vs. The Raiders have had a few eventful weeks, from being shutout in the 3—0 loss to the Minnesota Vikings to dropping 63 points on the Los Angeles Chargers to upsetting the Kansas City Chiefs on the road with two defensive touchdowns.

Expect the Raiders to hover around The red-hot Tampa Bay Buccaneers will put their four-game winning streak on the line against the struggling New Orleans Saints. But New Orleans did manage 22 points and passing yards from Derek Carr. The Buccaneers beat the Saints 26—9 in Week 4. Expect more points for Round 2 of this matchup. Taking the under here is a bold move because the Rams have scored 28 points or more in each of their past five games.

Los Angeles can certainly drop another 30 points on the five-win New York Giants , who allowed 33 points to the Philadelphia Eagles on Christmas. But the Rams have shown their inexperience in the past two weeks by failing to close out the Washington Commanders and Saints at home after jumping out to sizable leads.

Something tells me they might have a sluggish road performance after the flight across the country and could overlook an inferior opponent. Not saying the Giants will pull off the upset, but the Rams might find themselves in a low-scoring, one-possession game by the fourth quarter. Bucs looking to clinch division, playoff spot vs.

Mayfield leads Buccaneers to fourth straight win. Storyline to watch: Former Washington defensive end Chase Young makes his return, two months after the team traded him to San Francisco. Young recorded five sacks in seven games with Washington and has 2. He'll get a chance to sack Commanders quarterback Jacoby Brissett , who is slated to make his first start of the season.

But Brissett was added to the injury report with a hamstring injury and is listed as questionable. In two relief appearances and 25 dropbacks, Brissett has not been sacked. McCaffrey has 21 touchdowns rushing and receiving combined through 15 games, leaving him two short of Jerry Rice's franchise record of 23 which Rice did in just 12 games in This is a favorable matchup for McCaffrey and the Niners' offense as Washington is 23rd in yards per rush allowed 4.

The Commanders have also given up receiving yards to running backs, which ranks 27th in the NFL. Week 17 nfl over under Look for McCaffrey to do damage through the air and on the ground on his way to a record-breaking day. Stat to know: With a win, the 49ers would have plus wins in consecutive seasons for the first time since Matchup X factor: Brissett.

Brissett should be an upgrade, and, in fact, the betting line has shrunk since it opened and Ron Rivera announced Brissett as the starter. In other words: That's a strong sign the betting markets have more faith in Brissett. What's at stake: The 49ers can wrap up the No. Even if they don't clinch, the Niners are at The Commanders still have faint hopes of getting the No. Injuries: 49ers Commanders.

What to know for fantasy: The Commanders' defense has allowed the second-most receiving yards and second-most touchdowns per game to wide receivers. You'll want to have Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk in lineups. Also, the Commanders have given up the sixth-most receiving yards per game to running backs, which is good news for McCaffrey.

Betting nugget: The 49ers have covered four straight on the road and four straight as road favorites. Matchup must-reads: Ward growing into lockdown corner for 49ers Commanders to start backup Brissett at QB. Jaguars LB Josh Allen has On the flip side, the Panthers have the league's worst pass rush 21 sacks , and the Jaguars' offensive line ranks 30th in pass block win rate Beathard will be in at quarterback.

Bold prediction: Young , who didn't have a yard passing game until this past Sunday against Green Bay, will have his second against a Jaguars defense ranked 29th against the pass He'll also have a career-high four touchdown passes. Photo: week 17 nfl over under Stat to know: The Jaguars are in December. Only three teams in the Super Bowl era have made the playoffs after going winless in December: the Dolphins, Vikings and Rams.

Matchup X factor: The Jaguars' defense. While both sides have been seriously lacking of late, the defense has been the biggest difference between the Jaguars in Weeks and their current four-game losing streak in Weeks Fortunately for Jacksonville, the Panthers represent an opportunity to get back on track.

Even if they don't clinch, Jacksonville is at Those odds drop to A Panthers loss would lock up the No. Injuries: Panthers Jaguars. What to know for fantasy: Young had his best fantasy performance Now, the rookie faces a Jaguars defense in Week 17 that gives up the third-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. That's good news for D. Chark Jr. The Jaguars have given up the eighth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

Betting nugget: Seven of the past nine Panthers games have gone under the total. Is TE Engram the key to the Jaguars' offense in closing weeks. QB Lawrence feels better but will limit throwing this week. Storyline to watch: This is a showdown between the NFL's highest-scoring offense in the Dolphins 29 offensive points per game and the league's stingiest defense in the Ravens It's the fourth time that the No.

The team with the highest-scoring offense has won three of the four meetings. Bold prediction: With Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle not expected to play, the Dolphins' passing game will take a hit -- but their run game will make up for it. On Sunday, Miami will face a Ravens defense that has been excellent facing motion, allowing the second-fewest yards per attempt 6.

Matchup X factor: Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. Miami is firing on all cylinders, and Jackson is going to have to orchestrate an offense around that dominant defense. What's at stake: The Ravens would be sitting pretty with a win, as a victory would clinch the No. A loss would drop the Ravens' chances at the No.

A win would also give the Dolphins a solid shot at locking up the No. A loss and a Buffalo win set up a Week 18 matchup for the division crown, with a Injuries: Dolphins Ravens. What to know for fantasy: Tagovailoa hasn't scored 20 fantasy points since Week 8 against the Patriots. The Ravens' defense gives up the third-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Baltimore defense has also given up the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs. Achane has been phenomenal this season but has averaged only In that time frame, Mostert has averaged Betting nugget: The Dolphins have failed to cover three straight as an underdog, as well as three straight as a road underdog.

Matchup must-reads: Dolphins dispute 'cuteness' label as they prepare for Ravens Jackson, Ravens try to keep 'level head,' ignore No. Source: Dolphins' Waddle expected to miss game vs. Storyline to watch: The Texans control their destiny. If they win, they'll be in the postseason. The Titans face a different version of the Texans, as rookie quarterback C.

Stroud has cleared concussion protocol. Before Stroud suffered a concussion, he led the league in passing yards 3, and threw 20 touchdowns to five interceptions. The Texans' offense with Stroud ranked 10th in scoring Without him, the offense averaged yards and 17 points. Stroud will face the league's second-best red zone defense, which allows touchdowns on just Bold prediction: Titans receiver DeAndre Hopkins will have receiving yards and surpass 1, yards on the season.

Hopkins has posted three yard receiving games this season. Nevada vs georgia tech prediction Houston's defense is allowing Stat to know: With a loss, the Titans would lose 11 games in a season for first time since At times, Brown and Schultz have showed up in major ways. Houston needs one of them to come through to get the offense back on track.

A loss would not be kind to Houston, reducing its playoff odds to The Titans are eliminated from the playoffs, but a loss would increase their chances at a top-five pick. Injuries: Titans Texans. The Titans' defense has given up the fifth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers.

Matchup must-reads: Texans' Stroud clears concussion protocol, to start vs. Texans pick up twice-suspended safety Jackson Storyline to watch: While the Seahawks' run defense has faltered of late, their pass defense has been much better. After allowing roughly 3. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, got touchdown catches from George Pickens of 86 and 66 yards as well as another yard reception last week.

If Seahawks cornerback Devon Witherspoon returns from the hip pointer that has sidelined him most of the past three games, the Witherspoon-Pickens matchup will be a must-watch. Bold prediction: The Steelers will have their first yard rusher since Week The Seahawks have given up rushing yards per game in their past three outings, the second worst mark in the NFL.

After struggling for the better part of the past month, the Steelers committed to the run game against the Bengals and ran the ball 30 times for yards, with Najee Harris accounting for 78 of those. With QB Mason Rudolph stretching the field and opening up the offense with deep, vertical passes, expect the Steelers to keep finding room to run against the Seahawks.

Stat to know: Seahawks' receiver DK Metcalf has five receiving touchdowns in the past four games after scoring three in his first 10 games. We've highlighted him a few times, but his role against Seattle's strong receiver group is paramount. Porter ranks second in yards per coverage snap allowed and eighth in EPA allowed among outside corners with at least coverage snaps.

What's at stake: A third straight win would lock the Seahawks into the playoffs if the Packers-Vikings game ends in a tie. Even if that doesn't happen, the Seahawks are in good shape with a win, as their chances to make the playoffs would grow to A loss doesn't end Seattle's postseason chances, but it would reduce them to The Steelers also aren't out with a loss, but their playoff hopes would fall to 5.

A win gives Pittsburgh a bit more hope, increasing its playoff percentage to Injuries: Steelers Seahawks. What to know for fantasy: The Seahawks' defense has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. This season, Harris has averaged There is a place for both in fantasy lineups, especially for managers in deeper formats.

Matchup must-reads: Steelers' Rudolph to start again if Pickett still out Geno's impact felt in return to field. Storyline to watch: Broncos coach Sean Payton benched quarterback Russell Wilson this week after Payton had publicly -- again -- expressed his frustration over the offense's performance in the loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday.

Wilson's replacement, Jarrett Stidham , will face a Chargers defense ranked 29th overall, allowing Stidham has a chance over the next two games to stake a claim to compete for the starting job next season. The Broncos also waived a defensive captain Monday in Kareem Jackson , so how this team looks on the field will bear watching given the two players' standing in the locker room.

Bold prediction: The Chargers have the feel of a team reenergized under interim coach Giff Smith, whom players have lauded for his old-school, tough-love approach that is uniform from stars to reserves. In their first game under Smith, the Chargers nearly beat the Buffalo Bills -- a team that had blown out the soaring Cowboys a week before -- without top target Keenan Allen and with a third-string center and a backup quarterback.

Stat to know: The Broncos' defense has registered 15 sacks in the past four games, and opposing quarterbacks have been held to a Matchup X factor: Stidham. He's basically a total wild card having not thrown a single pass as a Bronco. He should have an easy first assignment against the Chargers, but Denver's chances will depend a lot on what kind of quarterback they have Sunday.

A loss would eliminate Denver and be the eighth straight season out of the playoffs. The Chargers can't get the No. Week 17 nfl over under Injuries: Chargers Broncos. Denver's defense has steadily improved, but the Broncos still give up the second-most fantasy points per game to running backs. They have gone under their total in 10 of their past 13 going over last week.

Has QB Wilson played his final game for the Broncos. Storyline to watch: If this game is anything like Chiefs-Bengals meetings from recent seasons, it will come down to the end. Their four games from the past two years -- two in the regular season, two in the AFC Championship Game -- have been decided by exactly three points.

If it's a similar scenario this time, it has to favor the Bengals. The Chiefs have been unable to rally for a win in the fourth quarter this season. Bold prediction: Chiefs rookie Rashee Rice goes for receiving yards. Bengals defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo will make it a point to keep Travis Kelce from doing significant damage against Cincinnati.

This should leave a lot of favorable matchups for Rice, who has a team-high 41 targets for Kansas City in the previous four games. Stat to know: Mahomes needs passing yards to pass Len Dawson 28, for most in Chiefs' franchise history. Matchup X factor: Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd.

Jake Browning and the Bengals need a second weapon, and Boyd, if he plays at his best, can be that. Even if the Chiefs don't clinch the division, a win guarantees a playoff spot. Kansas City is still in a strong position to make the playoffs There's more volatility for the Bengals, as a win gives Cincinnati a Injuries: Bengals Chiefs. What to know for fantasy: Rice faces a Bengals defense that gives up the ninth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

Over the past five games, he has averaged Matchup must-reads: Bengals routed by Steelers as payoff hopes dwindle Kelce goes off on Chiefs' struggles: 'Not just one guy'. Storyline to watch: The Vikings are once again turning to rookie QB Jaren Hall , largely because they are out of options after Nick Mullens threw six interceptions in two starts and Joshua Dobbs was unable to move the offense at the end of his stint as a starter.

Ordinarily, Hall's grand total of 22 previous offensive snaps at the NFL level would be a concern in a game with such obvious playoff implications. But the Vikings are fortunate that he will be playing against a Packers pass defense that has allowed a Bold prediction: The Packers will have their first yard receiver of the season. This after Aaron Jones gave them their first yard rusher of the season in Sunday's win at Carolina.

It's not that the Vikings are giving up gobs of yards through the air -- they rank 17th in the league, allowing Christian Watson has twice had games in the yard range. Dontayvion Wicks has a yard outing, Romeo Doubs has a yard game and Jayden Reed has two in the 80s.

Stat to know: The Vikings are when losing the turnover battle this season -- the most such defeats in the NFL. They are when they don't lose the turnover differential. The Vikings' 30 turnovers are tied with the Jets for second most in NFL this season Browns, 32 and are the Vikings' most since With Jaire Alexander suspended, these two will likely have to contend with Justin Jefferson in what promises to be a tough assignment.

What's at stake: This is pretty much a must-win game for both teams. There's more of a range for the Packers, who would have a better than shot at the playoffs with a win It's not as extreme a spread for the Vikings, but they need to win; their playoff hopes go from Injuries: Packers Vikings. What to know for fantasy: WR K. Osborn has averaged After losing T. Hockenson for the season , Osborn is expected to play a larger role in the Vikings' passing game.

Betting nugget: Prime-time unders are this season and Matchup must-reads: Packers get 'that dude' Jones back just in time Vikings bench QB Mullens, to start rookie Hall Packers suspend CB Alexander one game after coin-toss mix-up Skip to main content Skip to navigation. NFL Week 17 game guide: Matchup keys, predictions and score picks for every game. Minnesota Vikings. Chicago Bears.

Dak 'fine in any situation' when it comes to deal. Dallas Cowboys.