Final Prediction: Who Wins? After extensive simulations, our model connecticut vs creighton prediction Connecticut a win probability of 60%, while Creighton has a win probability of 40%. 15 Creighton Bluejays. The Bluejays are. UConn may be in for a let down spot on Tuesday. Since rejoining the Big East UConn has lost at Creighton every season, this includes a season.
What are the odds on the UConn vs Creighton game? Betting Line Implied Predictions The Huskies have a 60.8% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bluejays have a 43.5% implied probability to win.
Last year's Huskies had the depth and firepower to get hot when it counted. This season, UConn is already blazing hot in mid-February. Time will tell if they can sustain this level of play. But it's certainly possible with the talent at the top of the roster. The most notable difference is Donovan Clingan, performing like a legitimate superstar at the center spot.
Many, myself included, thought he was already better than All-Big East big man Adama Sanogo last season. Given the lion's share of the minutes inside this year, he's been the country's best big man not named Zach Edey. UConn's sole conference loss came with Clingan sidelined due to injury.
With him healthy and playing his best, Connecticut's guards have more opportunity to play pressure defense, knowing there's a dominant rim protector behind. Meanwhile, Clingan affords those guards so much more driving and shooting space offensively. While UConn's win on Saturday was undoubtedly more notable, Creighton's Saturday performance was also eye-opening.
Given Creighton's love of the deep ball, you'd think they'd have shot the lights out to win so dominantly in a brutal road environment. But that wasn't the case. Creighton had a mediocre day from beyond the arc and still picked the Bulldogs apart, winning the second half Creighton has shown a consistent game plan all season.
The Bluejays want their shooters to shoot, ranking top ten nationally in 3-point rate. If you run them off the 3-point line, Creighton's goal is to get a high-value look inside the arc. The Bluejays don't earn trips to the foul line and rank outside the top in the country in percentage of shots coming at the rim, yet shoot a top ten percentage on their rim looks.
Greg McDermott's team uses penetration with a plan in place. A paint touch leads to a dunk, layup, or kick out for a 3. The lack of free throw attempts, an indifference to crashing the offensive glass, and the nation's single worst defense in forcing turnovers combine to limit easy or extra scoring chances.
Creighton bets they can beat you with 3s and dunks, and there's no backup plan. Connecticut vs creighton prediction It's been a pretty safe bet, especially considering how diligent the Bluejays are at running teams off the 3-point line. Creighton allows 3-point attempts at the 3rd lowest rate nationally. McDermott's willing to forego steals, freebies, and putbacks, simply knowing that if his guys can get up a ton of clean looks from deep but you can't, the odds are in his favor.
The initial gut reaction to Saturday's UConn win felt like handing them a second straight national title. Looking back into the recent past, teams in the same spot struggled in the following game. Top ten teams who just beat a fellow top ten squad by 15 or more points, then travel to play another ranked opponent on the road, are just straight up, with the four wins coming by an average margin of only 3.
You may point out that Creighton is also coming off a big win, though not of the same magnitude. I'd counter that recent shooting splits also favor the Bluejays. Meanwhile, in Creighton's last five outings, the Bluejays have hit Betting against UConn in this spot is like splitting aces at the blackjack table.
It's not a guaranteed winner, but by the book, it's the smart play. This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
Lines last updated at a. There is better value on UConn to cover the spread. The Huskies are on a game winning streak and have not lost since December. They beat the Bluejays by 14 points on Jan. UConn has covered the spread in each of its last 3 road games and is ATS in its last 5 overall. Its defense has been its strong suit, allowing more than 65 points just once in its last 10 games.
While Creighton possesses multiple offensive weapons, they will not be able to stay in the game with the Huskies. Play now. UConn has hit the Over in each of its last 2 road games and has scored at least 81 points in each of its last 3 games. It has scored at least 71 in 8 of its last Creighton has hit the Over in 6 of its last 8 games including each of its last 4 at home.
It has scored at least 87 in 3 of its last 5 and at least 78 in each of its last 8 games. For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire. Sign up for our newsletter to get updates to your inbox, and also receive offers from us, our affiliates and partners.
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