NFL Week 9 betting lines · Kansas City Chiefs () vs. Miami Dolphins (+) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) at Houston Texans (-3) · Arizona. NFL Week 9 point spreads · Tennessee Titans (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) · Miami Dolphins (+) vs. · Minnesota Vikings (+) at Atlanta. Get predictions, betting odds and how to watch information for the NFL's Nfl football lines week 9 9 matchups. NFL Odds Week 9: Betting Tips after Friday's Injury Reports and Practice News · NFL Odds Week 9: Betting Tips after Friday's Injury Reports and.
What does spread 9.5 mean? What does a spread of +9.5 mean? A spread of +9.5 means that the team must either win the game or lose by 9 or less points/goals/runs for the spread bet to win. A spread bet is a bet on the margin of victory with a handicap (or line) attached to it, in this case the handicap is +9.5.
Those numbers are clearly in range, and the game script could help if the Bucs are trailing on the road and Baker Mayfield goes into check-down mode in the hurry-up offense. It doesn't make sense that books are treating these teams as equals on a neutral field.
Houston is inconsistent, but better. The Texans' offense has been far better than Tampa's. Neither team can run the ball, but C. Stroud and Houston's passing game have been outstanding and have the clear edge here. Houston can win this game in the trenches. The Bucs haven't rushed the passer well, so Houston's healthier offensive line can give Stroud time to succeed, and a terrific Texans defensive line can win against the Bucs makeshift line and put Baker Mayfield under pressure.
This was my lookahead pick a week ago. I'll admit I expected the Texans to beat Carolina last week, and that was a disappointing loss, but the Texans are still the better side and are playing at home. I think this line closes at -3 or above, so grab Houston below the key number while you can.
Is Dotson finally starting to get going. It sure looks like it over the past two weeks as Dotson had 18 targets and went over this line in each game with five catches for 43 yards, then eight for yards and a score last week in his best game of the season. It looks like a perfect time for Dotson to step up with another good outing, especially with Curtis Samuel sidelined.
The Patriots have the one good unit on the field, their defense. New England's pass defense has been uneven but should get pressure on Howell, and the stout run defense should limit Washington's better attack. Washington ranks bottom four on both offense and defense in the first half of games, so this is a great chance for the Patriots to get in front and get an easy win against a poorly coached team that looks like it might be packing it in for the season.
I do like the Patriots here, but not enough to go to crazy. I'll play a half unit on Patriots -3, but go no further. Think of it less as betting on Bagent and more as betting against Derek Carr and Dennis Allen as huge favorites. Nfl football lines week 9 The Saints are the better team, but not by as much as this line reflects. Chicago's offense is 12th in EPA and first in the run game. The defense is also first against the run and 19th overall, not great but no longer terrible.
For two teams that lean so heavily on the run, that improvement means Chicago can hang — or even win. Chicago's defense ranks bottom five for the season by DVOA, both overall and against the pass. Carr's debut season in New Orleans hasn't been great, but this is a good spot for him to put up big numbers.
Chicago has allowed 17 passing TDs, the second most of any team. It's always tricky with Carr since he loses red zone touches to Taysom Hill, but Carr has thrown at least two touchdowns in two of the past four games. If the Saints are the real deal, Carr should be able to find the end zone twice. The Bears aren't good. But they're also no longer as terrible as they looked the first few weeks.
It's almost always a good idea to consider fading Allen and Carr as favorites. When Carr is more than a 3-point favorite, he's just SU and has lost five of his past six. This line is too high for two teams that simply aren't this far apart. I'd love to find you some Cards prop but let's be real: Clayton Tune is in big trouble. Arizona's offense ranks 26th in DVOA on the road and bottom three overall the last three weeks after a hot start, and we're down to unknowns at QB, RB, WR, and TE with a bad, young line against a filthy defensive front seven.
A rookie QB under pressure all game is sure to make some mistakes. Could that lead to a defensive score. How about two. We've had 21 games over the last decade with multiple defensive TDs. That's 0. Is this game twice as likely as a random one to see two defensive touchdowns. Sure feels like it. There is some good news for Cardinals fans.
Who the heck knows what the offense will look like with Watson playing. That makes it too hard to feel confident in this side to cover or even win a teaser, but the defense is worth trusting. Cleveland has already held two opponents to three points, so how about a home shutout. We've seen 53 shutouts over the past decade, about 2.
That's about one every three weeks. It's Week 9 and we've had two shutouts, so we're due. Is this game 3. It's easily the most likely shutout on the slate. I loved Browns Will Watson suck. Will he finish the game. Will Kyler Murray get in. I'd guess no, yes, no, but the one thing I'm confident in here is that Clayton Tune starting on the road against this Browns defense will go very poorly.
I'll sprinkle two goofy outcomes for it going really poorly. Looking for a new sportsbook in Arizona, Cardinals fans. But it's hard to bet a side in such a big game knowing so little. If Dallas does play well, it'll have to be on Prescott's shoulders. The Cowboys rushing attack has not been great and could struggle against a top defensive front that ranks 1st in Run DVOA.
But the Eagles pass defense looks very leaky, dropping from 17th to 23rd by DVOA just last week alone, and veteran corners Darius Slay and James Bradberry both look beatable while Philadelphia is dead last against tight ends. Prescott is over this line in five of seven games, and the two unders were huge blowouts where he sat late. He's over As great as Dallas's defense has been at times, the run defense remains a bit vulnerable.
That would be great new for Hurts if he were healthy, but he doesn't look right with that injury. He had only four rushes last week, his fewest the past two seasons. Uconn gonzaga point spread He's gone under this line only six times during that stretch, though he was just barely over at nine in five other games.
This line is 6. I don't feel confident about either side, but I like this bet regardless of outcome — either Prescott passes Dallas to a win or is throwing from behind. These are the two worst offenses in the league by DVOA, but both defenses are quietly improving.
Both defenses have the advantage in this matchup, and these teams are a combined to the under. It's usually a good idea to back the underdog in a low under. It looks like he'll be back and this is where you want to back Danny Dimes. Adams showed his frustration in the loss on Monday night.
He had at least 66 yards in each of his first four games, but has failed to top 57 in the four games since. However, his last quality game came with O'Connell at QB. Young QBs tend to lock onto their top receiving option, for better and for worse.
O'Connell targeted Adams 13 times, his second highest mark of the season, for eight catches and 75 yards. That's the exact number we need here, so bet on volume, especially against a bad secondary that ranks bottom 10 against WR1s. I liked the under until the Raiders blew up their team.
A change at GM, coach and QB reeks of ownership stepping in, and it's impossible to know how the team will respond. This game sucks anyway, so I'll stay away. The Packers enter this week as 1 of 4 teams that have not been favored in a game this season Colts, Cardinals, Panthers. Last week, the Packers closed as a pick'em against the Vikings lost by The Commanders are ATS as road underdogs this season outright.
Chicago Bears New Orleans Saints Matt Eberflus is ATS in his career. Dennis Allen is ATS. Derek Carr is ATS in his career when laying at least 3. He is ATS as a favorite, the worst mark of any quarterback with at least 50 starts as a favorite in the Super Bowl era.
Overs are in Bears games under Eberflus, the highest over percentage in the NFL the last 2 seasons. Unders are in Saints games in that span T-3rd highest under pct. The Texans have lost five straight games outright as favorites dating back to this season. That is the second-longest active streak in the NFL Panthers: 9 straight.
Unders are in Buccaneers games this season with five straight unders. Unders are in Buccaneers games the last two seasons, tied with the Titans for the highest under percentage in the NFL. Nfl football lines week 9 Four straight Texans games have gone under the total. Indianapolis Colts They are ATS at home unders: Colts games are to the over this season, tied with the Bears for the highest over percentage in the NFL.
The Colts enter this week as 1 of 4 teams that have not been favored in a game this season Packers, Cardinals, Panthers. Last season, the Colts were ATS as favorites. Giants games are to the under this season with 6 straight unders. All 3 Raiders home games have gone under the total this season. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage.
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